PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Lecce 0–0 Bologna · Serie A

Lecce

DWLLW
0–0Historical match

Bologna

DDWDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lecce and Bologna drew 0–0.

Shots
68
Shots on target
12
Expected goals
0.510.93
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lecce and Bologna drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (Lecce – Bologna): shots 6–8, shots on target 1–2, expected goals 0.51–0.93, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lecce's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lecce's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.75 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.75 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bologna have a visible away split

moderate

Bologna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Lecce show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lecce's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLecce · Bologna13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLecceBolognaBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against14.4 shots/match9.57 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots8 shotsLecce 6 shots, Bologna 8 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot2 shotsLecce 1 shot, Bologna 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.51 xG0.93 xGLecce 0.51 xG, Bologna 0.93 xG
  • Possession41%59%Lecce 41%, Bologna 59%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersLecce 6 corners, Bologna 5 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls16 foulsLecce 14 fouls, Bologna 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tommaso Pobega · Bologna · 46′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 89′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFrédéric Guilbert · Lecce · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRemo Freuler · Bologna · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFederico Baschirotto · Lecce · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMedon Berisha · Lecce · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo De Silvestri · Bologna · 21′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLorenzo De Silvestri · Bologna · 17′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castro · Bologna · 6′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedÞórir Jóhann Helgason · Lecce · 18′ · 0.12 xG · on targetThijs Dallinga · Bologna · 90′ · 0.13 xG · on targetSantiago Castro · Bologna · 69′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedTete Morente · Lecce · 1′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castro · Bologna · 86′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lecce: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.42 xG. Bologna: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.81 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lecce 0.42 xG · Bologna 0.81 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Lecce
1Draws
4Bologna
Bologna — Lecce · Serie A1–0
Bologna — Lecce · Serie A4–0
Lecce — Bologna · Serie A1–1
Lecce — Bologna · Serie A2–3
Bologna — Lecce · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lecce favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Bologna in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lecce24 matchesBologna23 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored24/23▲ 1.52 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed24/23▲ 1.17 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals24/23▲ 1.28 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots24/23▲ 13.3 shots/match
3.29 shots/matchShots on target24/23▲ 4.96 shots/match
44.3%Possession24/23● 57.3%
3.83 corners/matchCorners24/23● 4.39 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls24/2314.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Feb 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLecceBologna
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headLecce — Bologna
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required