Serie A · 2024

Bologna 3–2 Torino · Serie A

Bologna

DWDWD
3–2Historical match

Torino

DDWDD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bologna won 3–2.

Shots
228
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
2.291.21
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bologna beat Torino 3–2. Recorded in this match (Bologna – Torino): shots 22–8, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 2.29–1.21, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Torino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Torino's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.08 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Torino show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Torino's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.7 shots/match ▲ShotsBologna · Torino9.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBolognaTorinoBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match9.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against9.5 shots/match14.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Bologna have a visible home split

moderate

Bologna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.8 shots/match13.7 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots8 shotsBologna 22 shots, Torino 8 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsBologna 6 shots, Torino 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.29 xG1.21 xGBologna 2.29 xG, Torino 1.21 xG
  • Possession66%34%Bologna 66%, Torino 34%
  • Corners8 corners2 cornersBologna 8 corners, Torino 2 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls17 foulsBologna 7 fouls, Torino 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Bologna
1Draws
1Torino
Torino — Bologna · Serie A0–2
Torino — Bologna · Serie A0–0
Bologna — Torino · Serie A2–0
Torino — Bologna · Serie A1–0
Bologna — Torino · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bologna favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Torino in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bologna24 matchesTorino25 matches
1.58 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/251.08 goals/match
1.21 goals/matchGoals allowed24/251.24 goals/match
1.33 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/250.94 xG/match
13.7 shots/match ▲Shots24/259.8 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/253.48 shots/match
57.6% ●Possession24/2547.6%
4.54 corners/match ●Corners24/254 corners/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls24/2512.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 14 Feb 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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