Serie A · 2024Fri, 14 Feb 2025, 19:45 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Bologna

DWDWD

3–2Full-time recap

Torino

DDWDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Bologna	Torino
Shots	22 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Expected goals	2.29 xG/match▲	1.21 xG/match
Possession	66%●	34%
Corners	8 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	7 fouls/match	17 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Torino's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Torino's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Torino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Torino's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.4 goals/match	1.08 goals/match	1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Torino show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Torino's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.7 shots/match▲ShotsBologna · Torino9.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Bologna	Torino	Baseline
Shots	13.7 shots/match	9.8 shots/match	12.8 shots/match
Shots against	9.5 shots/match	14.4 shots/match	12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Bologna have a visible home split

moderate

Bologna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.8 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	16.8 shots/match	13.7 shots/match	12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Bologna

1Draws

1Torino

21 Dec 2024Torino — Bologna · Serie A0–2

3 May 2024Torino — Bologna · Serie A0–0

27 Nov 2023Bologna — Torino · Serie A2–0

6 Mar 2023Torino — Bologna · Serie A1–0

6 Nov 2022Bologna — Torino · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Bologna favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Torino in 0 · 3 too close

1.58 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 24/251.08 goals/match

1.21 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 24/251.24 goals/match

1.33 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 24/250.94 xG/match

1 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 24/251.35 xG/match

13.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 24/259.8 shots/match

9.5 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 24/2514.4 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 24/253.48 shots/match

2.83 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 24/254.96 shots/match

57.6%●Possessionseason · 24/2547.6%

4.54 corners/match●Cornersseason · 24/254 corners/match

3.5 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 24/255.44 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

14.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 24/2512.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 24/2528%

83%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 24/2568%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bologna87.5

Torino42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bologna70.8

Torino25.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bologna83.3

Torino32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bologna32.5

Torino7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bologna87.5

Torino57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bologna50

Torino22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bologna70.6

Torino32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Bologna24 matchesTorino25 matches

1.58 goals/match▲Goals scored24/251.08 goals/match

1.21 goals/matchGoals allowed24/251.24 goals/match

1.33 xG/match▲Expected goals24/250.94 xG/match

13.7 shots/match▲Shots24/259.8 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target24/253.48 shots/match

57.6%●Possession24/2547.6%

4.54 corners/match●Corners24/254 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.5 fouls/matchFouls24/2512.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Bologna12 matchesTorino13 matches

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored12/131.31 goals/match

0.92 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/131.54 goals/match

1.77 xG/match▲Expected goals12/130.95 xG/match

16.8 shots/match▲Shots12/139.54 shots/match

5.42 shots/match▲Shots on target12/133.77 shots/match

61.1%●Possession12/1346%

5.92 corners/match●Corners12/133.62 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.7 fouls/matchFouls12/1312.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.11 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples24 / 25home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 14 Feb 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4