PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Atalanta 0–0 Cagliari · Serie A

0–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atalanta and Cagliari drew 0–0.

Shots
93
Shots on target
20
Expected goals
0.440.18
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atalanta and Cagliari drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (Atalanta – Cagliari): shots 9–3, shots on target 2–0, expected goals 0.44–0.18, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cagliari's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cagliari's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.04 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.04 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cagliari have a visible away split

moderate

Cagliari's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.83 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.83 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Atalanta show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Atalanta's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAtalanta · Cagliari12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtalantaCagliariBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against10.2 shots/match13.9 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots3 shotsAtalanta 9 shots, Cagliari 3 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots0 shotsAtalanta 2 shots, Cagliari 0 shots
  • Expected goals0.44 xG0.18 xGAtalanta 0.44 xG, Cagliari 0.18 xG
  • Possession59%41%Atalanta 59%, Cagliari 41%
  • Corners8 corners2 cornersAtalanta 8 corners, Cagliari 2 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls11 foulsAtalanta 7 fouls, Cagliari 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Rafael Tolói · Atalanta · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarten de Roon · Atalanta · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 35′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAlessandro Deiola · Cagliari · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedÉderson · Atalanta · 87′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 29′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNadir Zortea · Cagliari · 73′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 85′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Deiola · Cagliari · 71′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedVanja Vlahović · Atalanta · 89′ · 0.15 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atalanta: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.42 xG. Cagliari: 3 shots, 0 on target, 0.18 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.250.50′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atalanta 0.42 xG · Cagliari 0.18 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Atalanta
0Draws
2Cagliari
Cagliari — Atalanta · Serie A0–1
Cagliari — Atalanta · Serie A2–1
Atalanta — Cagliari · Serie A2–0
Atalanta — Cagliari · Serie A1–2
Cagliari — Atalanta · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atalanta favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Cagliari in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atalanta25 matchesCagliari25 matches
2.16 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/251.04 goals/match
1.04 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/251.56 goals/match
1.73 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/251.27 xG/match
14.7 shots/match ▲Shots25/2512.5 shots/match
5.6 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/253.52 shots/match
56.8% ●Possession25/2546.1%
4.96 corners/matchCorners25/25● 5.4 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls25/2513.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Feb 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtalantaCagliari
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headAtalanta — Cagliari
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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