PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2024

Club Brugge KV 2–1 Atalanta · UEFA Champions League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Club Brugge KV won 2–1.

Shots
1112
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
1.531.26
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Club Brugge KV beat Atalanta 2–1. Recorded in this match (Club Brugge KV – Atalanta): shots 11–12, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 1.53–1.26, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atalanta's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atalanta's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.2 goals/match2.33 goals/match1.61 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Club Brugge KV show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Club Brugge KV's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.2 shots/match ▲ShotsClub Brugge KV · Atalanta16 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricClub Brugge KVAtalantaBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match16 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against10.8 shots/match8.56 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Atalanta have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.1%PossessionClub Brugge KV · Atalanta● 52%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricClub Brugge KVAtalantaBaseline
Possession43.1%52%51%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots12 shotsClub Brugge KV 11 shots, Atalanta 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsClub Brugge KV 4 shots, Atalanta 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.53 xG1.26 xGClub Brugge KV 1.53 xG, Atalanta 1.26 xG
  • Possession54%46%Club Brugge KV 54%, Atalanta 46%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersClub Brugge KV 4 corners, Atalanta 2 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls11 foulsClub Brugge KV 7 fouls, Atalanta 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Raoul Bellanova · Atalanta · 40′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMarten de Roon · Atalanta · 83′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJuan Cuadrado · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetStefan Posch · Atalanta · 28′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 25′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChemsdine Talbi · Club Brugge KV · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaxim De Cuyper · Club Brugge KV · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChristos Tzolis · Club Brugge KV · 7′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMaxim De Cuyper · Club Brugge KV · 30′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRaphael Onyedika · Club Brugge KV · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedChemsdine Talbi · Club Brugge KV · 57′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 65′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 40′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedChristos Tzolis · Club Brugge KV · 32′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFerran Jutglà · Club Brugge KV · 53′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFerran Jutglà · Club Brugge KV · 15′ · 0.10 xG · goalHans Vanaken · Club Brugge KV · 21′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 41′ · 0.10 xG · goalCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 82′ · 0.13 xG · on targetLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 66′ · 0.52 xG · off target or blockedGustaf Nilsson · Club Brugge KV · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Club Brugge KV: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.47 xG. Atalanta: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.04 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Ferran Jutglà · Club Brugge KV · 15′Gustaf Nilsson · Club Brugge KV · 90′Mario Pašalić · Atalanta · 41′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Club Brugge KV 1.47 xG · Atalanta 1.04 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Club Brugge KV favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Atalanta in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Club Brugge KV9 matchesAtalanta9 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored9/9▲ 2.33 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲ 0.89 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲ 2.48 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots9/9▲ 16 shots/match
4.11 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲ 6 shots/match
43.1%Possession9/9● 52%
3.44 corners/matchCorners9/9● 5.67 corners/match
9 fouls/matchFouls9/910.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 12 Feb 2025, 21:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsClub Brugge KVAtalanta
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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