PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Fiorentina 0–2 Como · Serie A

0–2Historical match

Como

LWLLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Como won 0–2.

Shots
58
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
0.250.78
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Como beat Fiorentina 2–0. Recorded in this match (Fiorentina – Como): shots 5–8, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 0.25–0.78, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fiorentina's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fiorentina's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.2 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Fiorentina.

5.66 days ▲Rest daysFiorentina · Como8.66 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricFiorentinaComoBaseline
Rest days5.66 days8.66 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Fiorentina show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Fiorentina's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.1 shots/match ▲ShotsFiorentina · Como13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFiorentinaComoBaseline
Shots12.1 shots/match13.7 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against12 shots/match9.64 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots8 shotsFiorentina 5 shots, Como 8 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsFiorentina 3 shots, Como 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.25 xG0.78 xGFiorentina 0.25 xG, Como 0.78 xG
  • Possession50%50%Fiorentina 50%, Como 50%
  • Corners2 corners1 cornerFiorentina 2 corners, Como 1 corner
  • Fouls14 fouls24 foulsFiorentina 14 fouls, Como 24 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Máximo Perrone · Como · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMichael Folorunsho · Fiorentina · 81′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNicolò Zaniolo · Fiorentina · 5′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAssane Diao · Como · 21′ · 0.03 xG · on targetEdoardo Goldaniga · Como · 73′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRobin Gosens · Fiorentina · 4′ · 0.06 xG · on targetNico Paz · Como · 60′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFabiano Parisi · Fiorentina · 85′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Zaniolo · Fiorentina · 1′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 66′ · 0.08 xG · goalAssane Diao · Como · 72′ · 0.10 xG · on targetAssane Diao · Como · 28′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAssane Diao · Como · 41′ · 0.32 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fiorentina: 5 shots, 3 on target, 0.25 xG. Como: 8 shots, 4 on target, 0.77 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Assane Diao · Como · 41′Nico Paz · Como · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fiorentina 0.25 xG · Como 0.77 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Fiorentina
0Draws
0Como
Como — Fiorentina · Serie A0–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fiorentina favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Como in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fiorentina25 matchesComo25 matches
1.64 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/251.2 goals/match
1.08 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/251.6 goals/match
1.3 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/251.16 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots25/25▲ 13.7 shots/match
4.64 shots/matchShots on target25/254.6 shots/match
49.7%Possession25/25● 53.8%
4.2 corners/matchCorners25/25● 4.56 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls25/2513.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Feb 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFiorentinaComo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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