Serie A · 2024Sun, 23 Feb 2025, 11:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Como

WLLLW

2–1Full-time recap

Napoli

WWDDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Como	Napoli
Shots	8 shots/match	13 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	4 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.56 xG/match	1.14 xG/match▲
Possession	43%	57%●
Corners	4 corners/match	6 corners/match●
Fouls	17 fouls/match	14 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Napoli's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Como's last-five shots average is below their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Napoli have a visible away split

moderate

Napoli's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.1 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season13.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	10.1 shots/match	13.1 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Como's recent record differs from the season

weak

Como's last-five shots average is below their season average.

11 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	11 shots/match	13.5 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Como

0Draws

1Napoli

4 Oct 2024Napoli — Como · Serie A3–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Como favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Napoli in 8 · 4 too close

1.23 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 26/26▲1.62 goals/match

1.58 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 26/26▲0.81 goals/match

1.14 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 26/26▲1.37 xG/match

1.07 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 26/26▲0.79 xG/match

13.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 26/2613.1 shots/match

9.77 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 26/269.77 shots/match

4.54 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 26/263.69 shots/match

3.85 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 26/26▲2.85 shots/match

53.4%●Possessionseason · 26/2653.1%

4.54 corners/matchCornersseason · 26/26●5.62 corners/match

4.12 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 26/26▲3.73 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 26/2611.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

12%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 26/26▲46%

73%Scoring frequencyseason · 26/26▲85%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Como62.5

Napoli57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Como56.7

Napoli60

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Como57.5

Napoli91.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Como57.5

Napoli42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Como72.5

Napoli15

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Como47.5

Napoli82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Como61.2

Napoli50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Como26 matchesNapoli26 matches

1.23 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲1.62 goals/match

1.58 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲0.81 goals/match

1.14 xG/matchExpected goals26/26▲1.37 xG/match

13.5 shots/matchShots26/2613.1 shots/match

4.54 shots/match▲Shots on target26/263.69 shots/match

53.4%●Possession26/2653.1%

4.54 corners/matchCorners26/26●5.62 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.7 fouls/matchFouls26/2611.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Como13 matchesNapoli14 matches

1.62 goals/matchGoals scored13/14▲1.71 goals/match

1.62 goals/matchGoals allowed13/14▲0.93 goals/match

1.3 xG/match▲Expected goals13/141.11 xG/match

14.3 shots/match▲Shots13/1410.1 shots/match

5.23 shots/match▲Shots on target13/143.14 shots/match

52.7%●Possession13/1451.2%

5.31 corners/match●Corners13/144.07 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.8 fouls/matchFouls13/1411.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.77 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples26 / 26home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Feb 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4