PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Napoli 1–1 Inter · Serie A

Napoli

WDDDL
1–1Historical match

Inter

DLWLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Napoli and Inter drew 1–1.

Shots
196
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
1.810.32
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Napoli and Inter drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Napoli – Inter): shots 19–6, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 1.81–0.32, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Inter's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Inter's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.22 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match2.22 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.85 corners/matchCornersNapoli · Inter● 6.11 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricNapoliInterBaseline
Corners5.85 corners/match6.11 corners/match4.52 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Napoli have a visible home split

strong

Napoli's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.8 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots6 shotsNapoli 19 shots, Inter 6 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotNapoli 4 shots, Inter 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.81 xG0.32 xGNapoli 1.81 xG, Inter 0.32 xG
  • Possession62%38%Napoli 62%, Inter 38%
  • Corners12 corners3 cornersNapoli 12 corners, Inter 3 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls15 foulsNapoli 7 fouls, Inter 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Hakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 28′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBilly Gilmour · Napoli · 46′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Spinazzola · Napoli · 75′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBilly Gilmour · Napoli · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Politano · Napoli · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Spinazzola · Napoli · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedScott McTominay · Napoli · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBilly Gilmour · Napoli · 47′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedScott McTominay · Napoli · 65′ · 0.05 xG · on targetGiacomo Raspadori · Napoli · 36′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 22′ · 0.07 xG · goalGiacomo Raspadori · Napoli · 32′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGiacomo Raspadori · Napoli · 38′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedStanislav Lobotka · Napoli · 57′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRomelu Lukaku · Napoli · 34′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCyril Ngonge · Napoli · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetGiacomo Raspadori · Napoli · 54′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 41′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedScott McTominay · Napoli · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedPhilip Billing · Napoli · 87′ · 0.16 xG · on targetRomelu Lukaku · Napoli · 45′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedPhilip Billing · Napoli · 87′ · 0.66 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Napoli: 19 shots, 4 on target, 1.87 xG. Inter: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.31 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Philip Billing · Napoli · 87′Federico Dimarco · Inter · 22′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Napoli 1.87 xG · Inter 0.31 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Napoli
2Draws
2Inter
Inter — Napoli · Serie A1–1
Inter — Napoli · Serie A1–1
Napoli — Inter · Serie A0–3
Napoli — Inter · Serie A3–1
Inter — Napoli · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Napoli favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Inter in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Napoli27 matchesInter27 matches
1.59 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 2.22 goals/match
0.81 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/270.93 goals/match
1.39 xG/matchExpected goals27/27▲ 1.82 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots27/27▲ 15.4 shots/match
3.7 shots/matchShots on target27/27▲ 5.37 shots/match
53.4%Possession27/27● 59.3%
5.85 corners/matchCorners27/27● 6.11 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls27/2711.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Mar 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNapoliInter
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headNapoli — Inter
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required