PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Udinese 1–0 Parma · Serie A

Udinese

LWDWW
1–0Historical match

Parma

LLLLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Udinese won 1–0.

Shots
209
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
2.370.78
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Udinese beat Parma 1–0. Recorded in this match (Udinese – Parma): shots 20–9, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 2.37–0.78, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Udinese's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Udinese's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.26 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.26 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots9 shotsUdinese 20 shots, Parma 9 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsUdinese 6 shots, Parma 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.37 xG0.78 xGUdinese 2.37 xG, Parma 0.78 xG
  • Possession43%57%Udinese 43%, Parma 57%
  • Corners7 corners7 cornersUdinese 7 corners, Parma 7 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls7 foulsUdinese 15 fouls, Parma 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Sandi Lovrić · Udinese · 12′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDennis Man · Parma · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJürgen Ekkelenkamp · Udinese · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Valenti · Parma · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmanuele Valeri · Parma · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Ehizibue · Udinese · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmanuele Valeri · Parma · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSandi Lovrić · Udinese · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Udinese · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Ehizibue · Udinese · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Udinese · 60′ · 0.03 xG · on targetArthur Atta · Udinese · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMateo Pellegrino · Parma · 87′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFlorian Thauvin · Udinese · 11′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 50′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMateo Pellegrino · Parma · 86′ · 0.05 xG · on targetArthur Atta · Udinese · 24′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAnge-Yoan Bonny · Parma · 68′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 77′ · 0.06 xG · on targetFlorian Thauvin · Udinese · 35′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 70′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Udinese · 55′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedOumar Solet · Udinese · 65′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedOumar Solet · Udinese · 30′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedArthur Atta · Udinese · 8′ · 0.22 xG · on targetPontus Almqvist · Parma · 82′ · 0.22 xG · on targetFlorian Thauvin · Udinese · 70′ · 0.39 xG · off target or blockedDennis Man · Parma · 47′ · 0.40 xG · on targetFlorian Thauvin · Udinese · 38′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Udinese: 20 shots, 6 on target, 2.39 xG. Parma: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.85 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Florian Thauvin · Udinese · 38′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Udinese 2.39 xG · Parma 0.85 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Udinese
0Draws
0Parma
Parma — Udinese · Serie A2–3

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Udinese favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Parma in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Udinese27 matchesParma27 matches
1.26 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/271.19 goals/match
1.37 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.7 goals/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals27/27▲ 1.2 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots27/27▲ 11.9 shots/match
3.78 shots/matchShots on target27/273.85 shots/match
46.8% ●Possession27/2744.4%
4.74 corners/matchCorners27/27● 4.81 corners/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls27/279.78 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Mar 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsUdineseParma
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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