PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Parma 2–2 Torino · Serie A

Parma

LLLWL
2–2Historical match

Torino

DDLWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Parma and Torino drew 2–2.

Shots
126
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
1.750.56
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Parma and Torino drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Parma – Torino): shots 12–6, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1.75–0.56, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Torino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Torino's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.18 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots6 shotsParma 12 shots, Torino 6 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsParma 4 shots, Torino 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.75 xG0.56 xGParma 1.75 xG, Torino 0.56 xG
  • Possession52%48%Parma 52%, Torino 48%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersParma 7 corners, Torino 4 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls15 foulsParma 16 fouls, Torino 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Emanuele Valeri · Parma · 52′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEljif Elmas · Torino · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmanuele Valeri · Parma · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDennis Man · Parma · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEljif Elmas · Torino · 19′ · 0.04 xG · goalAnge-Yoan Bonny · Parma · 40′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMateo Pellegrino · Parma · 75′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMateo Pellegrino · Parma · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedChe Adams · Torino · 45′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedCristiano Biraghi · Torino · 31′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Vogliacco · Parma · 45′ · 0.11 xG · on targetPontus Almqvist · Parma · 48′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedCristiano Biraghi · Torino · 15′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMateo Pellegrino · Parma · 82′ · 0.16 xG · goalMatteo Cancellieri · Parma · 45′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedChe Adams · Torino · 72′ · 0.26 xG · goalMateo Pellegrino · Parma · 60′ · 0.28 xG · goalAnge-Yoan Bonny · Parma · 45′ · 0.59 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Parma: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.77 xG. Torino: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.66 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Mateo Pellegrino · Parma · 60′Mateo Pellegrino · Parma · 82′Eljif Elmas · Torino · 19′Che Adams · Torino · 72′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Parma 1.77 xG · Torino 0.66 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Parma
1Draws
0Torino
Torino — Parma · Serie A0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Parma favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Torino in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Parma28 matchesTorino28 matches
1.21 goals/matchGoals scored28/281.18 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 1.21 goals/match
1.22 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/280.91 xG/match
11.9 shots/match ▲Shots28/289.75 shots/match
3.86 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/283.54 shots/match
44.7%Possession28/28● 47.1%
4.89 corners/match ●Corners28/284 corners/match
10 fouls/matchFouls28/2812.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Mar 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsParmaTorino
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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