Serie A · 2024

Cagliari 3–0 Monza · Serie A

3–0Historical match

Monza

DLLLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cagliari won 3–0.

Shots
1112
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.650.52
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cagliari beat Monza 3–0. Recorded in this match (Cagliari – Monza): shots 11–12, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.65–0.52, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cagliari's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cagliari's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.2 shots/match11.8 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Monza have a visible away split

moderate

Monza's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

6.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season8.67 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots6.8 shots/match8.67 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots12 shotsCagliari 11 shots, Monza 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsCagliari 4 shots, Monza 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.65 xG0.52 xGCagliari 1.65 xG, Monza 0.52 xG
  • Possession41%59%Cagliari 41%, Monza 59%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersCagliari 4 corners, Monza 6 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls11 foulsCagliari 17 fouls, Monza 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alessandro Bianco · Monza · 7′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGeorgios Kyriakopoulos · Monza · 14′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGaetano Castrovilli · Monza · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKeita Baldé · Monza · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Ciurria · Monza · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Caprari · Monza · 89′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGeorgios Kyriakopoulos · Monza · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDany Mota · Monza · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDanilo D'Ambrosio · Monza · 29′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAlessandro Bianco · Monza · 36′ · 0.04 xG · on targetNicolas Viola · Cagliari · 40′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Viola · Cagliari · 49′ · 0.04 xG · goalRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 42′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Viola · Cagliari · 42′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGeorgios Kyriakopoulos · Monza · 14′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 18′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Gaetano · Cagliari · 73′ · 0.10 xG · goalDanilo D'Ambrosio · Monza · 51′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Pavoletti · Cagliari · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedZito Luvumbo · Cagliari · 90′ · 0.12 xG · goalNicolas Viola · Cagliari · 7′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Pavoletti · Cagliari · 88′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Gaetano · Cagliari · 87′ · 0.68 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Cagliari: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.92 xG. Monza: 12 shots, 3 on target, 0.43 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Nicolas Viola · Cagliari · 49′Gianluca Gaetano · Cagliari · 73′Zito Luvumbo · Cagliari · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cagliari 1.92 xG · Monza 0.43 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Cagliari
1Draws
1Monza
Monza — Cagliari · Serie A1–2
Monza — Cagliari · Serie A1–0
Cagliari — Monza · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cagliari favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Monza in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cagliari30 matchesMonza30 matches
1.03 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/300.8 goals/match
1.47 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/301.73 goals/match
1.19 xG/match ▲Expected goals30/300.81 xG/match
11.8 shots/match ▲Shots30/308.67 shots/match
3.37 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/302.6 shots/match
45.2%Possession30/30● 47.7%
4.93 corners/match ●Corners30/303.6 corners/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls30/3013.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Mar 2025, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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