PitchMath
Serie A · 2024Sun, 6 Apr 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Empoli

LDLLD
0–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricEmpoliCagliari
Shots7 shots/match7 shots/match
Shots on target1 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals0.33 xG/match▲0.26 xG/match
Possession45%55%●
Corners2 corners/match3 corners/match●
Fouls9 fouls/match15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Tommaso Augello · Cagliari · 20′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Esposito · Empoli · 21′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Viola · Cagliari · 46′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 27′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMatteo Prati · Cagliari · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLiam Henderson · Empoli · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJunior Sambia · Empoli · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Viola · Cagliari · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLiam Henderson · Empoli · 20′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNadir Zortea · Cagliari · 33′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedChristian Kouamé · Empoli · 56′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedChristian Kouamé · Empoli · 20′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLiberato Cacace · Empoli · 64′ · 0.09 xG · on targetFlorinel Coman · Cagliari · 64′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Empoli: 7 shots, 1 on target, 0.34 xG. Cagliari: 7 shots, 1 on target, 0.25 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.250.50′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Empoli 0.34 xG · Cagliari 0.25 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Empoli's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Cagliari's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Empoli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Empoli's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.77 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.77 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cagliari have a visible away split

moderate

Cagliari's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.2 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.2 shots/match11.6 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Empoli
2Draws
1Cagliari
Cagliari — Empoli · Serie A0–2
Empoli — Cagliari · Serie A0–1
Cagliari — Empoli · Serie A0–0
Empoli — Cagliari · Serie A1–1
Cagliari — Empoli · Serie A0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Empoli favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Cagliari in 7 · 3 too close

0.77 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 31/31▲1 goals/match
1.52 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 31/31▲1.42 goals/match
0.86 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 31/31▲1.16 xG/match
1.34 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 31/311.53 xG/match
9.45 shots/matchShotsseason · 31/31▲11.6 shots/match
14.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 31/31▲13.5 shots/match
2.77 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 31/31▲3.29 shots/match
4.39 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 31/314.19 shots/match
40.5%Possessionseason · 31/31●45.5%
4.26 corners/matchCornersseason · 31/31●4.87 corners/match
5.58 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 31/31▲4.97 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
14.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 31/3113.6 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
19%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 31/3116%
58%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 31/3155%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Empoli7.5
Cagliari27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Empoli10
Cagliari32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Empoli28.3
Cagliari38.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Empoli22.5
Cagliari67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Empoli92.5
Cagliari72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Empoli37.5
Cagliari72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Empoli37.5
Cagliari52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Empoli31 matchesCagliari31 matches
0.77 goals/matchGoals scored31/31▲1 goals/match
1.52 goals/matchGoals allowed31/31▲1.42 goals/match
0.86 xG/matchExpected goals31/31▲1.16 xG/match
9.45 shots/matchShots31/31▲11.6 shots/match
2.77 shots/matchShots on target31/31▲3.29 shots/match
40.5%Possession31/31●45.5%
4.26 corners/matchCorners31/31●4.87 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
14.6 fouls/matchFouls31/3113.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Empoli15 matchesCagliari15 matches
0.33 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲0.8 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed15/151.33 goals/match
0.61 xG/matchExpected goals15/15▲1.02 xG/match
8.47 shots/matchShots15/15▲9.2 shots/match
2.53 shots/matchShots on target15/152.47 shots/match
41.4%Possession15/15●45.4%
4.2 corners/match●Corners15/153.93 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.9 fouls/matchFouls15/1513.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.96 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.1 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Apr 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsEmpoliCagliari
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match