Serie A · 2024

Atalanta 0–1 Lazio · Serie A

0–1Historical match

Lazio

DWDLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lazio won 0–1.

Shots
108
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.530.52
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lazio beat Atalanta 1–0. Recorded in this match (Atalanta – Lazio): shots 10–8, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.53–0.52, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atalanta's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atalanta's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.03 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match2.03 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

4.94 corners/matchCornersAtalanta · Lazio● 5.84 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAtalantaLazioBaseline
Corners4.94 corners/match5.84 corners/match4.48 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots8 shotsAtalanta 10 shots, Lazio 8 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsAtalanta 2 shots, Lazio 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.53 xG0.52 xGAtalanta 0.53 xG, Lazio 0.52 xG
  • Possession58%42%Atalanta 58%, Lazio 42%
  • Corners11 corners4 cornersAtalanta 11 corners, Lazio 4 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls6 foulsAtalanta 6 fouls, Lazio 6 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Marten de Roon · Atalanta · 26′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Rovella · Lazio · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarten de Roon · Atalanta · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedManuel Lazzari · Lazio · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFisayo Dele-Bashiru · Lazio · 48′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLuca Pellegrini · Lazio · 74′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuca Pellegrini · Lazio · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Maldini · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 17′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBoulaye Dia · Lazio · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarten de Roon · Atalanta · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarco Brescianini · Atalanta · 89′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 72′ · 0.10 xG · on targetMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 50′ · 0.18 xG · on targetGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 54′ · 0.35 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atalanta: 10 shots, 2 on target, 0.53 xG. Lazio: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.51 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Gustav Isaksen · Lazio · 54′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atalanta 0.53 xG · Lazio 0.51 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Atalanta
1Draws
2Lazio
Lazio — Atalanta · Serie A1–1
Atalanta — Lazio · Serie A3–1
Lazio — Atalanta · Serie A3–2
Lazio — Atalanta · Serie A0–2
Atalanta — Lazio · Serie A0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atalanta favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Lazio in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atalanta31 matchesLazio31 matches
2.03 goals/match ▲Goals scored31/311.68 goals/match
0.97 goals/match ▲Goals allowed31/311.35 goals/match
1.73 xG/match ▲Expected goals31/311.49 xG/match
14.6 shots/match ▲Shots31/3113.8 shots/match
5.32 shots/matchShots on target31/315.13 shots/match
55.9% ●Possession31/3154.1%
4.94 corners/matchCorners31/31● 5.84 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls31/3111.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Apr 2025, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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