PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Roma 1–1 Juventus · Serie A

Roma

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1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Roma and Juventus drew 1–1.

Shots
1111
Shots on target
47
Expected goals
1.090.78
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Roma and Juventus drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Roma – Juventus): shots 11–11, shots on target 4–7, expected goals 1.09–0.78, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Juventus's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Juventus's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.52 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.52 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots11 shotsRoma 11 shots, Juventus 11 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots7 shotsRoma 4 shots, Juventus 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.09 xG0.78 xGRoma 1.09 xG, Juventus 0.78 xG
  • Possession41%59%Roma 41%, Juventus 59%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersRoma 4 corners, Juventus 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls15 foulsRoma 11 fouls, Juventus 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Timothy Weah · Juventus · 3′ · 0.01 xG · on targetStephan El Shaarawy · Roma · 52′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAngeliño · Roma · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBryan Cristante · Roma · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolás González · Juventus · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEvan Ndicka · Roma · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedStephan El Shaarawy · Roma · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArtem Dovbyk · Roma · 60′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKhéphren Thuram · Juventus · 12′ · 0.04 xG · on targetManuel Locatelli · Juventus · 40′ · 0.04 xG · goalEvan Ndicka · Roma · 49′ · 0.04 xG · on targetStephan El Shaarawy · Roma · 37′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedStephan El Shaarawy · Roma · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 33′ · 0.08 xG · on targetWeston McKennie · Juventus · 89′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedNicolás González · Juventus · 27′ · 0.14 xG · on targetWeston McKennie · Juventus · 62′ · 0.14 xG · on targetRenato Veiga · Juventus · 90′ · 0.14 xG · on targetBryan Cristante · Roma · 25′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedEldor Shomurodov · Roma · 49′ · 0.59 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Roma: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.07 xG. Juventus: 11 shots, 7 on target, 0.76 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Eldor Shomurodov · Roma · 49′Manuel Locatelli · Juventus · 40′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Roma 1.07 xG · Juventus 0.76 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Roma
3Draws
1Juventus
Juventus — Roma · Serie A0–0
Roma — Juventus · Serie A1–1
Juventus — Roma · Serie A1–0
Roma — Juventus · Serie A1–0
Juventus — Roma · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Roma favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Juventus in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Roma31 matchesJuventus31 matches
1.48 goals/matchGoals scored31/311.52 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed31/31▲ 0.94 goals/match
1.47 xG/match ▲Expected goals31/311.36 xG/match
14.1 shots/match ▲Shots31/3113.4 shots/match
4.65 shots/matchShots on target31/31▲ 5.03 shots/match
55.4%Possession31/31● 58.8%
4.48 corners/matchCorners31/31● 4.77 corners/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls31/3112.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Apr 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRomaJuventus
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headRoma — Juventus
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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