Serie A · 2024

Lazio 1–1 Roma · Serie A

Lazio

WDLDW
1–1Historical match

Roma

WWWWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lazio and Roma drew 1–1.

Shots
129
Shots on target
74
Expected goals
1.210.24
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lazio and Roma drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Lazio – Roma): shots 12–9, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 1.21–0.24, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lazio's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lazio's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.66 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.66 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots9 shotsLazio 12 shots, Roma 9 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsLazio 7 shots, Roma 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.21 xG0.24 xGLazio 1.21 xG, Roma 0.24 xG
  • Possession47%53%Lazio 47%, Roma 53%
  • Corners10 corners5 cornersLazio 10 corners, Roma 5 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls12 foulsLazio 12 fouls, Roma 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Matías Soulé · Roma · 17′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEvan Ndicka · Roma · 18′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLuca Pellegrini · Lazio · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMattéo Guendouzi · Lazio · 60′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLorenzo Pellegrini · Roma · 18′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 37′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGianluca Mancini · Roma · 54′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMatías Soulé · Roma · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatías Soulé · Roma · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatías Soulé · Roma · 69′ · 0.03 xG · goalAlexis Saelemaekers · Roma · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Rovella · Lazio · 12′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPedro · Lazio · 75′ · 0.06 xG · on targetFisayo Dele-Bashiru · Lazio · 61′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 22′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAlessio Romagnoli · Lazio · 47′ · 0.08 xG · goalZeki Çelik · Roma · 64′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAlessio Romagnoli · Lazio · 7′ · 0.15 xG · on targetBoulaye Dia · Lazio · 76′ · 0.30 xG · on targetTijjani Noslin · Lazio · 90′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lazio: 12 shots, 7 on target, 1.21 xG. Roma: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.24 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Alessio Romagnoli · Lazio · 47′Matías Soulé · Roma · 69′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lazio 1.21 xG · Roma 0.24 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Lazio
1Draws
2Roma
Roma — Lazio · Serie A2–0
Roma — Lazio · Serie A1–0
Lazio — Roma · Serie A0–0
Lazio — Roma · Serie A1–0
Roma — Lazio · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lazio favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Roma in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lazio32 matchesRoma32 matches
1.66 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/321.47 goals/match
1.34 goals/matchGoals allowed32/32▲ 1 goal/match
1.49 xG/matchExpected goals32/321.44 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots32/3213.9 shots/match
5.19 shots/match ▲Shots on target32/324.63 shots/match
53.9%Possession32/32● 55.3%
5.97 corners/match ●Corners32/324.5 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls32/3210.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Apr 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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