PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Roma 1–0 Hellas Verona · Serie A

Roma

WWWDD
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Roma won 1–0.

Shots
68
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
1.510.51
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Roma beat Hellas Verona 1–0. Recorded in this match (Roma – Hellas Verona): shots 6–8, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 1.51–0.51, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Hellas Verona's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.91 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.91 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Roma have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.3% ●PossessionRoma · Hellas Verona38.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRomaHellas VeronaBaseline
Possession55.3%38.3%48.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Roma show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Roma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.7 shots/match ▲ShotsRoma · Hellas Verona10.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRomaHellas VeronaBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match10.2 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots8 shotsRoma 6 shots, Hellas Verona 8 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsRoma 3 shots, Hellas Verona 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.51 xG0.51 xGRoma 1.51 xG, Hellas Verona 0.51 xG
  • Possession55%45%Roma 55%, Hellas Verona 45%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersRoma 4 corners, Hellas Verona 6 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls17 foulsRoma 5 fouls, Hellas Verona 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Matías Soulé · Roma · 15′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAntoine Bernede · Hellas Verona · 49′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNicolás Valentini · Hellas Verona · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDaniele Ghilardi · Hellas Verona · 9′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Mosquera · Hellas Verona · 30′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDaniel Mosquera · Hellas Verona · 52′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTommaso Baldanzi · Roma · 53′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedArtem Dovbyk · Roma · 73′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Mancini · Roma · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDaniele Ghilardi · Hellas Verona · 53′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Mosquera · Hellas Verona · 35′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Mosquera · Hellas Verona · 23′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMatías Soulé · Roma · 4′ · 0.31 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Roma: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.54 xG. Hellas Verona: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.51 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Roma 0.54 xG · Hellas Verona 0.51 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Roma
0Draws
2Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona — Roma · Serie A3–2
Roma — Hellas Verona · Serie A2–1
Hellas Verona — Roma · Serie A2–1
Roma — Hellas Verona · Serie A1–0
Hellas Verona — Roma · Serie A1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Roma favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Hellas Verona in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Roma33 matchesHellas Verona33 matches
1.45 goals/match ▲Goals scored33/330.91 goals/match
0.97 goals/match ▲Goals allowed33/331.82 goals/match
1.44 xG/match ▲Expected goals33/330.95 xG/match
13.7 shots/match ▲Shots33/3310.2 shots/match
4.58 shots/match ▲Shots on target33/332.67 shots/match
55.3% ●Possession33/3338.3%
4.48 corners/match ●Corners33/334.18 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls33/3315 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Apr 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRomaHellas Verona
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headRoma — Hellas Verona
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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