PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Monza 0–1 Napoli · Serie A

Monza

LDLLL
0–1Historical match

Napoli

WDWDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Napoli won 0–1.

Shots
816
Shots on target
05
Expected goals
0.861.56
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Napoli beat Monza 1–0. Recorded in this match (Monza – Napoli): shots 8–16, shots on target 0–5, expected goals 0.86–1.56, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Monza's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Monza's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.76 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.76 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Monza show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Monza's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.7 shots/match ▲ShotsMonza · Napoli13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMonzaNapoliBaseline
Shots8.7 shots/match13.4 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against14.8 shots/match9.94 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Napoli have a visible away split

moderate

Napoli's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.5 shots/match13.4 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots16 shotsMonza 8 shots, Napoli 16 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots5 shotsMonza 0 shots, Napoli 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.86 xG1.56 xGMonza 0.86 xG, Napoli 1.56 xG
  • Possession41%59%Monza 41%, Napoli 59%
  • Corners6 corners7 cornersMonza 6 corners, Napoli 7 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls11 foulsMonza 18 fouls, Napoli 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Giacomo Raspadori · Napoli · 81′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMathías Olivera · Napoli · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMathías Olivera · Napoli · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRafa Marín · Napoli · 27′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlessandro Bianco · Monza · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Politano · Napoli · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRomelu Lukaku · Napoli · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKacper Urbański · Monza · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSamuele Birindelli · Monza · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Caprari · Monza · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Caprari · Monza · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedScott McTominay · Napoli · 17′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMatteo Politano · Napoli · 39′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Di Lorenzo · Napoli · 87′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedScott McTominay · Napoli · 18′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAmir Rrahmani · Napoli · 19′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGaetano Castrovilli · Monza · 29′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Politano · Napoli · 69′ · 0.10 xG · on targetRomelu Lukaku · Napoli · 22′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedRafa Marín · Napoli · 22′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedRomelu Lukaku · Napoli · 44′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedDany Mota · Monza · 45′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedDany Mota · Monza · 42′ · 0.45 xG · off target or blockedScott McTominay · Napoli · 72′ · 0.51 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Monza: 8 shots, 0 on target, 0.87 xG. Napoli: 16 shots, 5 on target, 1.51 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Scott McTominay · Napoli · 72′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Monza 0.87 xG · Napoli 1.51 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Monza
1Draws
3Napoli
Napoli — Monza · Serie A2–0
Monza — Napoli · Serie A2–4
Napoli — Monza · Serie A0–0
Monza — Napoli · Serie A2–0
Napoli — Monza · Serie A4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Monza favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Napoli in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Monza33 matchesNapoli33 matches
0.76 goals/matchGoals scored33/33▲ 1.58 goals/match
1.73 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲ 0.76 goals/match
0.8 xG/matchExpected goals33/33▲ 1.45 xG/match
8.7 shots/matchShots33/33▲ 13.4 shots/match
2.58 shots/matchShots on target33/33▲ 4.06 shots/match
47.6%Possession33/33● 53.4%
3.64 corners/matchCorners33/33● 5.67 corners/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls33/3311 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Apr 2025, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMonzaNapoli
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headMonza — Napoli
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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