PitchMath
Serie A · 2024Sun, 13 Apr 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
0–0Full-time recap

Genoa

DDWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricHellas VeronaGenoa
Shots14 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Expected goals1.25 xG/match▲0.14 xG/match
Possession46%54%●
Corners6 corners/match●2 corners/match
Fouls19 fouls/match11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Jackson Tchatchoua · Hellas Verona · 18′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Genoa · 21′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAlessandro Zanoli · Genoa · 25′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGrigoris Kastanos · Hellas Verona · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Genoa · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Mosquera · Hellas Verona · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMartin Frese · Hellas Verona · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOndrej Duda · Hellas Verona · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOndrej Duda · Hellas Verona · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGrigoris Kastanos · Hellas Verona · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDomagoj Bradarić · Hellas Verona · 59′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNicolás Valentini · Hellas Verona · 80′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGrigoris Kastanos · Hellas Verona · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Mosquera · Hellas Verona · 59′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAarón Martín · Genoa · 5′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Mosquera · Hellas Verona · 78′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Mosquera · Hellas Verona · 36′ · 0.25 xG · on targetDailon Rocha Livramento · Hellas Verona · 68′ · 0.41 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Hellas Verona: 14 shots, 2 on target, 1.24 xG. Genoa: 4 shots, 1 on target, 0.16 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Hellas Verona 1.24 xG · Genoa 0.16 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Hellas Verona's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.94 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.94 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Hellas Verona
1Draws
2Genoa
Genoa — Hellas Verona · Serie A0–2
Hellas Verona — Genoa · Serie A1–2
Genoa — Hellas Verona · Serie A1–0
Hellas Verona — Genoa · Serie A1–0
Genoa — Hellas Verona · Serie A3–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Hellas Verona favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Genoa in 7 · 6 too close

0.94 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 32/320.91 goals/match
1.84 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 32/32▲1.19 goals/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 32/320.99 xG/match
1.46 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 32/32▲1.23 xG/match
10.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 32/3210.5 shots/match
13.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 32/32▲12.2 shots/match
2.69 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 32/32▲3.22 shots/match
4.81 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 32/32▲3.97 shots/match
38.1%Possessionseason · 32/32●46%
4.13 corners/match●Cornersseason · 32/324.06 corners/match
5.19 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 32/325 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
14.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 32/3212.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 32/32▲34%
56%Scoring frequencyseason · 32/32▲66%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Hellas Verona2.5
Genoa32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Hellas Verona19.2
Genoa22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Hellas Verona18.3
Genoa51.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Hellas Verona87.5
Genoa17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Hellas Verona97.5
Genoa52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Hellas Verona27.5
Genoa22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Hellas Verona38.8
Genoa30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Hellas Verona32 matchesGenoa32 matches
0.94 goals/matchGoals scored32/320.91 goals/match
1.84 goals/matchGoals allowed32/32▲1.19 goals/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goals32/320.99 xG/match
10.2 shots/matchShots32/3210.5 shots/match
2.69 shots/matchShots on target32/32▲3.22 shots/match
38.1%Possession32/32●46%
4.13 corners/match●Corners32/324.06 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
14.9 fouls/matchFouls32/3212.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Hellas Verona16 matchesGenoa16 matches
0.81 goals/match▲Goals scored16/160.69 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲1.25 goals/match
1.08 xG/match▲Expected goals16/160.81 xG/match
11.2 shots/match▲Shots16/169.19 shots/match
2.75 shots/match▲Shots on target16/162.38 shots/match
39.8%Possession16/16●45.3%
5.06 corners/match●Corners16/163.94 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
13.9 fouls/matchFouls16/1612.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.76 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Apr 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsHellas VeronaGenoa
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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