PitchMath
Serie A · 2024Sun, 13 Apr 2025, 16:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Como

LDLDW
1–0Full-time recap

Torino

WDWDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricComoTorino
Shots15 shots/match▲10 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Expected goals1.37 xG/match▲1.22 xG/match
Possession58%●42%
Corners7 corners/match●4 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match16 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Gvidas Gineitis · Torino · 37′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAssane Diao · Como · 24′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMërgim Vojvoda · Como · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Da Cunha · Como · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Da Cunha · Como · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moreno · Como · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAssane Diao · Como · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Sanabria · Torino · 79′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEljif Elmas · Torino · 9′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Ikoné · Como · 44′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEljif Elmas · Torino · 55′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAntonio Sanabria · Torino · 87′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLucas Da Cunha · Como · 32′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJonathan Ikoné · Como · 51′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLucas Da Cunha · Como · 25′ · 0.08 xG · on targetEdoardo Goldaniga · Como · 75′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAssane Diao · Como · 76′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedEljif Elmas · Torino · 69′ · 0.11 xG · on targetChe Adams · Torino · 48′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedLucas Da Cunha · Como · 60′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMarc-Oliver Kempf · Como · 76′ · 0.18 xG · on targetEljif Elmas · Torino · 87′ · 0.18 xG · on targetGvidas Gineitis · Torino · 58′ · 0.22 xG · on targetKarol Linetty · Torino · 13′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blockedAnastasios Douvikas · Como · 38′ · 0.47 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Como: 15 shots, 7 on target, 1.37 xG. Torino: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.20 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Anastasios Douvikas · Como · 38′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Como 1.37 xG · Torino 1.20 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Torino's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Torino show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Torino's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match▲ShotsComo · Torino9.69 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricComoTorinoBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match9.69 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against9.88 shots/match14.6 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Como
0Draws
1Torino
Torino — Como · Serie A1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Como favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Torino in 2 · 2 too close

1.25 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 32/321.13 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 32/32▲1.16 goals/match
1.2 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 32/320.9 xG/match
1.1 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 32/321.36 xG/match
13.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 32/329.69 shots/match
9.88 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 32/3214.6 shots/match
4.78 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 32/323.47 shots/match
3.88 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 32/324.81 shots/match
54.4%●Possessionseason · 32/3247.3%
4.41 corners/match●Cornersseason · 32/323.91 corners/match
3.75 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 32/325.53 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
13.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 32/3213 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 32/32▲28%
78%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 32/3272%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Como67.5
Torino37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Como61.7
Torino30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Como60
Torino31.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Como52.5
Torino7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Como67.5
Torino57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Como42.5
Torino17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Como60.6
Torino31.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Como32 matchesTorino32 matches
1.25 goals/match▲Goals scored32/321.13 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed32/32▲1.16 goals/match
1.2 xG/match▲Expected goals32/320.9 xG/match
13.6 shots/match▲Shots32/329.69 shots/match
4.78 shots/match▲Shots on target32/323.47 shots/match
54.4%●Possession32/3247.3%
4.41 corners/match●Corners32/323.91 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
13.3 fouls/matchFouls32/3213 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Como16 matchesTorino17 matches
1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored16/171.29 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed16/171.41 goals/match
1.33 xG/match▲Expected goals16/170.92 xG/match
14.3 shots/match▲Shots16/179.41 shots/match
5.44 shots/match▲Shots on target16/173.76 shots/match
54.4%●Possession16/1745.6%
5.19 corners/match●Corners16/173.65 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.8 fouls/matchFouls16/1713.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.12 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.12 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Apr 2025, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsComoTorino
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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