PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Inter 3–1 Cagliari · Serie A

Inter

DWWWD
3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Inter won 3–1.

Shots
138
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
1.820.73
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter beat Cagliari 3–1. Recorded in this match (Inter – Cagliari): shots 13–8, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.82–0.73, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsInter · Cagliari11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricInterCagliariBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match11.5 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against9.84 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Cagliari have a visible away split

moderate

Cagliari's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.13 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.13 shots/match11.5 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Cagliari's recent record differs from the season

weak

Cagliari's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.2 shots/match11.5 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots8 shotsInter 13 shots, Cagliari 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsInter 4 shots, Cagliari 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.82 xG0.73 xGInter 1.82 xG, Cagliari 0.73 xG
  • Possession62%38%Inter 62%, Cagliari 38%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersInter 5 corners, Cagliari 6 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls12 foulsInter 6 fouls, Cagliari 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Yerry Mina · Cagliari · 52′ · 0.01 xG · on targetNadir Zortea · Cagliari · 68′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDavide Frattesi · Inter · 3′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNadir Zortea · Cagliari · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 55′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCarlos Augusto · Inter · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDavide Frattesi · Inter · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedZito Luvumbo · Cagliari · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDavide Frattesi · Inter · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMichel Adopo · Cagliari · 86′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedStefan de Vrij · Inter · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 22′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 43′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedYann Bisseck · Inter · 81′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedYann Bisseck · Inter · 55′ · 0.14 xG · goalRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 78′ · 0.23 xG · on targetMarko Arnautović · Inter · 13′ · 0.25 xG · goalLautaro Martínez · Inter · 8′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 48′ · 0.31 xG · goalRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 25′ · 0.46 xG · on targetLautaro Martínez · Inter · 26′ · 0.59 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Inter: 13 shots, 4 on target, 1.79 xG. Cagliari: 8 shots, 4 on target, 1.14 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Marko Arnautović · Inter · 13′Lautaro Martínez · Inter · 26′Yann Bisseck · Inter · 55′Roberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 48′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Inter 1.79 xG · Cagliari 1.14 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Inter
1Draws
0Cagliari
Cagliari — Inter · Serie A0–3
Inter — Cagliari · Serie A2–2
Cagliari — Inter · Serie A0–2
Cagliari — Inter · Serie A1–3
Inter — Cagliari · Serie A4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Inter favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Cagliari in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Inter32 matchesCagliari32 matches
2.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/321 goal/match
0.97 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/321.47 goals/match
1.86 xG/match ▲Expected goals32/321.15 xG/match
15.8 shots/match ▲Shots32/3211.5 shots/match
5.31 shots/match ▲Shots on target32/323.31 shots/match
59.5% ●Possession32/3245.3%
6.09 corners/match ●Corners32/324.91 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls32/3213.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Apr 2025, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsInterCagliari
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headInter — Cagliari
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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