PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Monza 1–3 Como · Serie A

Monza

LLLDL
1–3Historical match

Como

WLDLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Como won 1–3.

Shots
817
Shots on target
47
Expected goals
0.92.17
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Como beat Monza 3–1. Recorded in this match (Monza – Como): shots 8–17, shots on target 4–7, expected goals 0.9–2.17, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Monza show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Monza's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.65 shots/match ▲ShotsMonza · Como13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMonzaComoBaseline
Shots8.65 shots/match13.5 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against15 shots/match9.87 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Monza have a visible home split

moderate

Monza's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season8.65 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match8.65 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots17 shotsMonza 8 shots, Como 17 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots7 shotsMonza 4 shots, Como 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.9 xG2.17 xGMonza 0.9 xG, Como 2.17 xG
  • Possession42%58%Monza 42%, Como 58%
  • Corners2 corners2 cornersMonza 2 corners, Como 2 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls21 foulsMonza 19 fouls, Como 21 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nico Paz · Como · 14′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAssane Diao · Como · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Ciurria · Monza · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGeorgios Kyriakopoulos · Monza · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Strefezza · Como · 73′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Ikoné · Como · 16′ · 0.04 xG · goalAnastasios Douvikas · Como · 20′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMërgim Vojvoda · Como · 51′ · 0.04 xG · goalGianluca Caprari · Monza · 80′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÁlex Valle · Como · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDanilo D'Ambrosio · Monza · 47′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAssane Diao · Como · 2′ · 0.07 xG · on targetDany Mota · Monza · 61′ · 0.07 xG · on targetNico Paz · Como · 2′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAnastasios Douvikas · Como · 76′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Ikoné · Como · 45′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAnastasios Douvikas · Como · 41′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedKeita Baldé · Monza · 49′ · 0.12 xG · on targetNico Paz · Como · 20′ · 0.13 xG · on targetDany Mota · Monza · 5′ · 0.14 xG · goalAnastasios Douvikas · Como · 70′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedAssane Diao · Como · 74′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedDany Mota · Monza · 49′ · 0.38 xG · on targetJonathan Ikoné · Como · 41′ · 0.40 xG · on targetAssane Diao · Como · 39′ · 0.61 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Monza: 8 shots, 4 on target, 0.86 xG. Como: 17 shots, 7 on target, 2.22 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Dany Mota · Monza · 5′Jonathan Ikoné · Como · 16′Assane Diao · Como · 39′Mërgim Vojvoda · Como · 51′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Monza 0.86 xG · Como 2.22 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Monza
1Draws
1Como
Como — Monza · Serie A1–1
Como — Monza · Serie B2–0
Monza — Como · Serie B3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Monza favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Como in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Monza31 matchesComo31 matches
0.81 goals/matchGoals scored31/31▲ 1.26 goals/match
1.77 goals/matchGoals allowed31/31▲ 1.55 goals/match
0.81 xG/matchExpected goals31/31▲ 1.19 xG/match
8.65 shots/matchShots31/31▲ 13.5 shots/match
2.65 shots/matchShots on target31/31▲ 4.71 shots/match
47.5%Possession31/31● 54.3%
3.55 corners/matchCorners31/31● 4.32 corners/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls31/3113.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Apr 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMonzaComo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headMonza — Como
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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