PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Parma 2–2 Inter · Serie A

Parma

WLDDD
2–2Historical match

Inter

WDWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Parma and Inter drew 2–2.

Shots
820
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
1.492.07
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

Parma and Inter drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Parma – Inter): shots 8–20, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.49–2.07, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsParma · Inter15.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricParmaInterBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match15.9 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against14.7 shots/match9.9 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Parma's recent record differs from the season

weak

Parma's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.19 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.19 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Inter have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.2%PossessionParma · Inter● 59.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricParmaInterBaseline
Possession45.2%59.5%48.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots20 shotsParma 8 shots, Inter 20 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsParma 4 shots, Inter 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.49 xG2.07 xGParma 1.49 xG, Inter 2.07 xG
  • Possession37%63%Parma 37%, Inter 63%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersParma 2 corners, Inter 4 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls7 foulsParma 9 fouls, Inter 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Hakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 35′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 24′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 29′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAdrián Bernabé · Parma · 60′ · 0.02 xG · goalHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKristjan Asllani · Inter · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnge-Yoan Bonny · Parma · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDavide Frattesi · Inter · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 29′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 17′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 11′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 23′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedYann Bisseck · Inter · 82′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 13′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJacob Ondrejka · Parma · 69′ · 0.09 xG · goalYann Bisseck · Inter · 9′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 4′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedYann Bisseck · Inter · 6′ · 0.12 xG · on targetJacob Ondrejka · Parma · 85′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedPontus Almqvist · Parma · 10′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Darmian · Inter · 15′ · 0.15 xG · goalMatteo Darmian · Inter · 30′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedDennis Man · Parma · 20′ · 0.20 xG · on targetMarcus Thuram · Inter · 45′ · 0.38 xG · goalMateo Pellegrino · Parma · 90′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blockedAnge-Yoan Bonny · Parma · 10′ · 0.45 xG · on targetLautaro Martínez · Inter · 23′ · 0.53 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Parma: 8 shots, 4 on target, 1.46 xG. Inter: 20 shots, 4 on target, 2.07 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Adrián Bernabé · Parma · 60′Jacob Ondrejka · Parma · 69′Matteo Darmian · Inter · 15′Marcus Thuram · Inter · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Parma 1.46 xG · Inter 2.07 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Parma
0Draws
1Inter
Inter — Parma · Serie A3–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Parma favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Inter in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Parma31 matchesInter31 matches
1.19 goals/matchGoals scored31/31▲ 2.23 goals/match
1.65 goals/matchGoals allowed31/31▲ 0.97 goals/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goals31/31▲ 1.86 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots31/31▲ 15.9 shots/match
3.84 shots/matchShots on target31/31▲ 5.35 shots/match
45.2%Possession31/31● 59.5%
4.74 corners/matchCorners31/31● 6.13 corners/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls31/3111.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Apr 2025, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsParmaInter
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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