Serie A · 2024

Inter 2–1 Udinese · Serie A

Inter

LWDWW
2–1Historical match

Udinese

WWWDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Inter won 2–1.

Shots
1311
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
1.520.74
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter beat Udinese 2–1. Recorded in this match (Inter – Udinese): shots 13–11, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 1.52–0.74, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Udinese's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Udinese's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.2 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsInter · Udinese11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricInterUdineseBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match11.4 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against9.97 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Inter have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.3% ●PossessionInter · Udinese47.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricInterUdineseBaseline
Possession59.3%47.3%48.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots11 shotsInter 13 shots, Udinese 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsInter 3 shots, Udinese 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.52 xG0.74 xGInter 1.52 xG, Udinese 0.74 xG
  • Possession60%40%Inter 60%, Udinese 40%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersInter 2 corners, Udinese 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls14 foulsInter 8 fouls, Udinese 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Hassane Kamara · Udinese · 53′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMartín Payero · Udinese · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Pavard · Inter · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOumar Solet · Udinese · 71′ · 0.02 xG · goalIker Bravo · Udinese · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 1′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoaquín Correa · Inter · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHenrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 81′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIker Bravo · Udinese · 48′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Augusto · Inter · 59′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOumar Solet · Udinese · 65′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 49′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 74′ · 0.08 xG · on targetHenrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 43′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 37′ · 0.10 xG · on targetLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 48′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDavide Frattesi · Inter · 5′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedOumar Solet · Udinese · 90′ · 0.19 xG · on targetDavide Frattesi · Inter · 8′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedDavide Frattesi · Inter · 29′ · 0.30 xG · goalDavide Frattesi · Inter · 8′ · 0.31 xG · on targetMarko Arnautović · Inter · 12′ · 0.37 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Inter: 13 shots, 3 on target, 1.78 xG. Udinese: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.69 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Marko Arnautović · Inter · 12′Davide Frattesi · Inter · 29′Oumar Solet · Udinese · 71′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Inter 1.78 xG · Udinese 0.69 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Inter
0Draws
1Udinese
Udinese — Inter · Serie A2–3
Udinese — Inter · Serie A1–2
Inter — Udinese · Serie A4–0
Inter — Udinese · Serie A3–1
Udinese — Inter · Serie A3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Inter favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Udinese in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Inter30 matchesUdinese30 matches
2.23 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/301.2 goals/match
0.93 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/301.37 goals/match
1.86 xG/match ▲Expected goals30/301.05 xG/match
15.8 shots/match ▲Shots30/3011.4 shots/match
5.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/303.77 shots/match
59.3% ●Possession30/3047.3%
6.2 corners/match ●Corners30/304.77 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls30/3014 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Mar 2025, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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