PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Genoa 1–0 Udinese · Serie A

Genoa

LDDWL
1–0Historical match

Udinese

WWDLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Genoa won 1–0.

Shots
135
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
1.360.87
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Genoa beat Udinese 1–0. Recorded in this match (Genoa – Udinese): shots 13–5, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 1.36–0.87, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Udinese's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Udinese's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.16 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.16 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots5 shotsGenoa 13 shots, Udinese 5 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsGenoa 7 shots, Udinese 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.36 xG0.87 xGGenoa 1.36 xG, Udinese 0.87 xG
  • Possession53%47%Genoa 53%, Udinese 47%
  • Corners1 corner2 cornersGenoa 1 corner, Udinese 2 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls14 foulsGenoa 16 fouls, Udinese 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Johan Vásquez · Genoa · 13′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Zanoli · Genoa · 23′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 63′ · 0.01 xG · on targetCaleb Ekuban · Genoa · 82′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMorten Thorsby · Genoa · 5′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCaleb Ekuban · Genoa · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRuslan Malinovskyi · Genoa · 23′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIker Bravo · Udinese · 56′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Pinamonti · Genoa · 41′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJohan Vásquez · Genoa · 83′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Pinamonti · Genoa · 10′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAlessandro Zanoli · Genoa · 77′ · 0.13 xG · goalAndrea Pinamonti · Genoa · 51′ · 0.16 xG · on targetJürgen Ekkelenkamp · Udinese · 35′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedMorten Thorsby · Genoa · 82′ · 0.32 xG · on targetAndrea Pinamonti · Genoa · 33′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blockedRui Modesto · Udinese · 74′ · 0.37 xG · on targetLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 47′ · 0.45 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Genoa: 13 shots, 7 on target, 1.32 xG. Udinese: 5 shots, 2 on target, 1.08 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Alessandro Zanoli · Genoa · 77′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Genoa 1.32 xG · Udinese 1.08 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Genoa
3Draws
0Udinese
Udinese — Genoa · Serie A0–2
Genoa — Udinese · Serie A2–0
Udinese — Genoa · Serie A2–2
Genoa — Udinese · Serie A0–0
Udinese — Genoa · Serie A0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Genoa favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Udinese in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Genoa31 matchesUdinese31 matches
0.94 goals/matchGoals scored31/31▲ 1.16 goals/match
1.23 goals/match ▲Goals allowed31/311.35 goals/match
1.02 xG/matchExpected goals31/311.04 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots31/3111.2 shots/match
3.29 shots/matchShots on target31/31▲ 3.71 shots/match
45.7%Possession31/31● 47.3%
4.13 corners/matchCorners31/31● 4.68 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls31/3114 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 4 Apr 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGenoaUdinese
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headGenoa — Udinese
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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