PitchMath
Serie A · 2024Fri, 2 May 2025, 18:45 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Torino

DDLWL
1–1Full-time recap

Venezia

LDWDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricTorinoVenezia
Shots19 shots/match▲7 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Expected goals2.13 xG/match▲0.66 xG/match
Possession55%●45%
Corners5 corners/match●1 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match18 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Cristiano Biraghi · Torino · 15′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIvan Ilić · Torino · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSaúl Coco · Torino · 42′ · 0.02 xG · on targetChe Adams · Torino · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGvidas Gineitis · Torino · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNikola Vlašić · Torino · 60′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSergiu Perciun · Torino · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNikola Vlašić · Torino · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJohn Yeboah · Venezia · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGuillermo Maripán · Torino · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNikola Vlašić · Torino · 59′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJay Idzes · Venezia · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChe Adams · Torino · 85′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEljif Elmas · Torino · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Busio · Venezia · 22′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEljif Elmas · Torino · 73′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Fila · Venezia · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Sanabria · Torino · 45′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedGvidas Gineitis · Torino · 18′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAlessio Zerbin · Venezia · 20′ · 0.12 xG · on targetChe Adams · Torino · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedChristian Gytkjær · Venezia · 4′ · 0.16 xG · on targetKike Pérez · Venezia · 37′ · 0.16 xG · goalCesare Casadei · Torino · 15′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedChe Adams · Torino · 50′ · 0.42 xG · on targetNikola Vlašić · Torino · 77′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Torino: 19 shots, 4 on target, 2.18 xG. Venezia: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.64 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Nikola Vlašić · Torino · 77′Kike Pérez · Venezia · 37′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Torino 2.18 xG · Venezia 0.64 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Torino's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Torino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Torino's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Torino
1Draws
1Venezia
Venezia — Torino · Serie A0–1
Torino — Venezia · Serie A1–2
Venezia — Torino · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Torino favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Venezia in 0 · 6 too close

1.11 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 35/350.8 goals/match
1.14 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 35/351.4 goals/match
0.94 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 35/350.97 xG/match
1.32 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 35/351.53 xG/match
9.94 shots/matchShotsseason · 35/3510.1 shots/match
14.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 35/3514.7 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 35/353.37 shots/match
4.71 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 35/355.03 shots/match
47.3%●Possessionseason · 35/3544.9%
4.09 corners/match●Cornersseason · 35/353.66 corners/match
5.34 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 35/355.83 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
12.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 35/3513.2 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
29%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 35/3517%
71%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 35/3554%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Torino37.5
Venezia22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Torino30.8
Venezia24.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Torino35.8
Venezia15.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Torino7.5
Venezia17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Torino52.5
Venezia62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Torino17.5
Venezia2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Torino30
Venezia30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Torino35 matchesVenezia35 matches
1.11 goals/match▲Goals scored35/350.8 goals/match
1.14 goals/match▲Goals allowed35/351.4 goals/match
0.94 xG/matchExpected goals35/350.97 xG/match
9.94 shots/matchShots35/3510.1 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target35/353.37 shots/match
47.3%●Possession35/3544.9%
4.09 corners/match●Corners35/353.66 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.7 fouls/matchFouls35/3513.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Torino17 matchesVenezia18 matches
1 goals/match▲Goals scored17/180.83 goals/match
0.82 goals/match▲Goals allowed17/181.72 goals/match
0.96 xG/match▲Expected goals17/180.84 xG/match
10.5 shots/match▲Shots17/189.22 shots/match
3.24 shots/match▲Shots on target17/182.94 shots/match
49.3%●Possession17/1842.7%
4.47 corners/match●Corners17/183.28 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.1 fouls/matchFouls17/1813.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.34 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 2 May 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsTorinoVenezia
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match