Serie A · 2024

Venezia 0–2 Milan · Serie A

Venezia

DLDWD
0–2Historical match

Milan

WLDWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Milan won 0–2.

Shots
1511
Shots on target
22
Expected goals
1.221.61
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Milan beat Venezia 2–0. Recorded in this match (Venezia – Milan): shots 15–11, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 1.22–1.61, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Milan show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Milan's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsVenezia · Milan15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVeneziaMilanBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match15 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against14.6 shots/match11.5 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Milan's recent record differs from the season

weak

Milan's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.56 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.56 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Milan have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.9%PossessionVenezia · Milan● 54.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricVeneziaMilanBaseline
Possession44.9%54.3%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots11 shotsVenezia 15 shots, Milan 11 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shotsVenezia 2 shots, Milan 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.22 xG1.61 xGVenezia 1.22 xG, Milan 1.61 xG
  • Possession50%50%Venezia 50%, Milan 50%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersVenezia 7 corners, Milan 2 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls13 foulsVenezia 14 fouls, Milan 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Rafael Leão · Milan · 54′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHans Nicolussi Caviglia · Venezia · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJohn Yeboah · Venezia · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGaetano Oristanio · Venezia · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTheo Hernández · Milan · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHans Nicolussi Caviglia · Venezia · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetChristian Pulišić · Milan · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFali Candé · Venezia · 3′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHans Nicolussi Caviglia · Venezia · 32′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRafael Leão · Milan · 54′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGaetano Oristanio · Venezia · 72′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlessio Zerbin · Venezia · 22′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedHans Nicolussi Caviglia · Venezia · 49′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedStrahinja Pavlović · Milan · 54′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlessio Zerbin · Venezia · 89′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRuben Loftus-Cheek · Milan · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJay Idzes · Venezia · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTammy Abraham · Milan · 62′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRuben Loftus-Cheek · Milan · 75′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJohn Yeboah · Venezia · 24′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedChristian Gytkjær · Venezia · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Busio · Venezia · 6′ · 0.17 xG · on targetJay Idzes · Venezia · 24′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Giménez · Milan · 90′ · 0.22 xG · goalSantiago Giménez · Milan · 71′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedChristian Pulišić · Milan · 5′ · 0.57 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Venezia: 15 shots, 2 on target, 1.22 xG. Milan: 11 shots, 2 on target, 1.64 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Christian Pulišić · Milan · 5′Santiago Giménez · Milan · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Venezia 1.22 xG · Milan 1.64 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Venezia
0Draws
3Milan
Milan — Venezia · Serie A4–0
Venezia — Milan · Serie A0–3
Milan — Venezia · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Venezia favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Milan in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Venezia34 matchesMilan34 matches
0.79 goals/matchGoals scored34/34▲ 1.56 goals/match
1.41 goals/matchGoals allowed34/34▲ 1.12 goals/match
0.98 xG/matchExpected goals34/34▲ 1.71 xG/match
10.2 shots/matchShots34/34▲ 15 shots/match
3.38 shots/matchShots on target34/34▲ 5.21 shots/match
44.9%Possession34/34● 54.3%
3.74 corners/matchCorners34/34● 5.91 corners/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls34/3411 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Apr 2025, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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