Serie A · 2024Sun, 27 Apr 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
21Full-time recap

Empoli

LDDLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricFiorentinaEmpoli
Shots6 shots/match8 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match5 shots/match
Expected goals0.79 xG/match0.38 xG/match
Possession53%47%
Corners1 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match18 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Alberto Grassi · Empoli · 38′ · 0.01 xG · on targetSebastiano Esposito · Empoli · 56′ · 0.01 xG · on targetGiuseppe Pezzella · Empoli · 4′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLorenzo Colombo · Empoli · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMichael Folorunsho · Fiorentina · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedViktor Kovalenko · Empoli · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTino Anjorin · Empoli · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRobin Gosens · Fiorentina · 73′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedViktor Kovalenko · Empoli · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 86′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Guðmundsson · Fiorentina · 66′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 25′ · 0.14 xG · goalJacopo Fazzini · Empoli · 57′ · 0.21 xG · goalYacine Adli · Fiorentina · 7′ · 0.49 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fiorentina: 6 shots, 3 on target, 0.83 xG. Empoli: 8 shots, 5 on target, 0.37 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Yacine Adli · Fiorentina · 7′Rolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 25′Jacopo Fazzini · Empoli · 57′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fiorentina 0.83 xG · Empoli 0.37 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Fiorentina. A second useful context is: Fiorentina have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Fiorentina.

3.85 daysRest daysFiorentina · Empoli7 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricFiorentinaEmpoliBaseline
Rest days3.85 days7 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Fiorentina have recorded the higher season possession share.

49.7%PossessionFiorentina · Empoli40.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFiorentinaEmpoliBaseline
Possession49.7%40.7%48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Fiorentina
4Draws
1Empoli
EmpoliFiorentina · Serie A00
EmpoliFiorentina · Serie A11
FiorentinaEmpoli · Serie A02
FiorentinaEmpoli · Serie A11
EmpoliFiorentina · Serie A00

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Fiorentina favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Empoli in 0 · 2 too close

1.56 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 34/340.79 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 34/341.59 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 34/340.87 xG/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 34/341.35 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 34/349.53 shots/match
11.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 34/3414.3 shots/match
4.38 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 34/342.82 shots/match
3.94 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 34/344.47 shots/match
49.7%Possessionseason · 34/3440.7%
3.79 corners/matchCornersseason · 34/344.26 corners/match
4.21 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 34/345.41 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 34/3414.9 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
35%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 34/3418%
79%Scoring frequencyseason · 34/3459%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Fiorentina52.5
Empoli7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Fiorentina55
Empoli11.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Fiorentina60.8
Empoli22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Fiorentina22.5
Empoli37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Fiorentina32.5
Empoli92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Fiorentina12.5
Empoli32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Fiorentina35
Empoli36.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Fiorentina34 matchesEmpoli34 matches
1.56 goals/matchGoals scored34/340.79 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed34/341.59 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals34/340.87 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots34/349.53 shots/match
4.38 shots/matchShots on target34/342.82 shots/match
49.7%Possession34/3440.7%
3.79 corners/matchCorners34/344.26 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.4 fouls/matchFouls34/3414.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Fiorentina18 matchesEmpoli18 matches
1.61 goals/matchGoals scored18/181.11 goals/match
0.89 goals/matchGoals allowed18/181.78 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals18/181.07 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots18/1810.3 shots/match
4.61 shots/matchShots on target18/183 shots/match
48.2%Possession18/1839.9%
4.17 corners/matchCorners18/184.44 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.4 fouls/matchFouls18/1816.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.85 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Apr 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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