Serie A · 2024Sun, 27 Apr 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Inter

WWDWL

0–1Full-time recap

Roma

WWDDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Inter	Roma
Shots	17 shots/match	19 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	7 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.04 xG/match	1.93 xG/match▲
Possession	69%●	31%
Corners	4 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Inter: 17 shots, 2 on target, 1.10 xG. Roma: 19 shots, 7 on target, 1.89 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Inter 1.10 xG · Roma 1.89 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Inter's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Inter's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Inter's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.12 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.4 goals/match	2.12 goals/match	1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.6 shots/match▲ShotsInter · Roma13.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Inter	Roma	Baseline
Shots	15.6 shots/match	13.8 shots/match	11.9 shots/match
Shots against	10.2 shots/match	11.4 shots/match	12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

4Inter

0Draws

1Roma

20 Oct 2024Roma — Inter · Serie A0–1

10 Feb 2024Roma — Inter · Serie A2–4

29 Oct 2023Inter — Roma · Serie A1–0

6 May 2023Roma — Inter · Serie A0–2

1 Oct 2022Inter — Roma · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Inter favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Roma in 1 · 3 too close

2.12 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 34/341.44 goals/match

0.97 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 34/340.94 goals/match

1.8 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 34/341.45 xG/match

0.91 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 34/341.06 xG/match

15.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 34/3413.8 shots/match

10.2 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 34/3411.4 shots/match

5.09 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 34/344.65 shots/match

3.56 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 34/344.06 shots/match

59.6%●Possessionseason · 34/3454.6%

6.03 corners/match●Cornersseason · 34/344.44 corners/match

3.71 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 34/344 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 34/3410.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

38%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 34/34▲41%

88%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 34/3482%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Inter97.5

Roma77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Inter92.5

Roma67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Inter79.2

Roma64.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Inter82.5

Roma62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Inter27.5

Roma7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Inter92.5

Roma45

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Inter75

Roma49.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Inter34 matchesRoma34 matches

2.12 goals/match▲Goals scored34/341.44 goals/match

0.97 goals/matchGoals allowed34/340.94 goals/match

1.8 xG/match▲Expected goals34/341.45 xG/match

15.6 shots/match▲Shots34/3413.8 shots/match

5.09 shots/match▲Shots on target34/344.65 shots/match

59.6%●Possession34/3454.6%

6.03 corners/match●Corners34/344.44 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls34/3410.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Inter17 matchesRoma17 matches

2.18 goals/match▲Goals scored17/170.94 goals/match

1.12 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲1.06 goals/match

1.83 xG/match▲Expected goals17/171.34 xG/match

17.3 shots/match▲Shots17/1713 shots/match

5.53 shots/match▲Shots on target17/174.47 shots/match

60.5%●Possession17/1753.7%

7.29 corners/match●Corners17/174.65 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.7 fouls/matchFouls17/1711.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.88 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.76 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples34 / 34home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Apr 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4