Serie A · 2024

Inter 0–1 Roma · Serie A

Inter

WWDWL
0–1Historical match

Roma

WWDDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Roma won 0–1.

Shots
1719
Shots on target
27
Expected goals
1.041.93
Possession
69%31%

Full time

What the match recorded

Roma beat Inter 1–0. Recorded in this match (Inter – Roma): shots 17–19, shots on target 2–7, expected goals 1.04–1.93, possession 69%–31%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Inter's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Inter's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.12 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match2.12 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.6 shots/match ▲ShotsInter · Roma13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricInterRomaBaseline
Shots15.6 shots/match13.8 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against10.2 shots/match11.4 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots19 shotsInter 17 shots, Roma 19 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots7 shotsInter 2 shots, Roma 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.04 xG1.93 xGInter 1.04 xG, Roma 1.93 xG
  • Possession69%31%Inter 69%, Roma 31%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersInter 4 corners, Roma 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls9 foulsInter 11 fouls, Roma 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Hakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 39′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Mancini · Roma · 77′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEvan Ndicka · Roma · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Pellegrini · Roma · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Mancini · Roma · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 4′ · 0.03 xG · on targetTommaso Baldanzi · Roma · 60′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDenzel Dumfries · Inter · 66′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMarko Arnautović · Inter · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLucas Gourna-Douath · Roma · 80′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedManu Koné · Roma · 20′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Pellegrini · Roma · 43′ · 0.04 xG · on targetHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 30′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMatías Soulé · Roma · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPiotr Zieliński · Inter · 84′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Pellegrini · Roma · 22′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Barella · Inter · 67′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEldor Shomurodov · Roma · 28′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Augusto · Inter · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 70′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 71′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAngeliño · Roma · 90′ · 0.09 xG · on targetDevyne Rensch · Roma · 90′ · 0.11 xG · on targetLautaro Martínez · Inter · 54′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedArtem Dovbyk · Roma · 75′ · 0.12 xG · on targetArtem Dovbyk · Roma · 73′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMarko Arnautović · Inter · 90′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMarko Arnautović · Inter · 30′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedEldor Shomurodov · Roma · 27′ · 0.18 xG · on targetBryan Cristante · Roma · 25′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedMatías Soulé · Roma · 22′ · 0.29 xG · goalNiccolò Pisilli · Roma · 72′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Inter: 17 shots, 2 on target, 1.10 xG. Roma: 19 shots, 7 on target, 1.89 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Matías Soulé · Roma · 22′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Inter 1.10 xG · Roma 1.89 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Inter
0Draws
1Roma
Roma — Inter · Serie A0–1
Roma — Inter · Serie A2–4
Inter — Roma · Serie A1–0
Roma — Inter · Serie A0–2
Inter — Roma · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Inter favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Roma in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Inter34 matchesRoma34 matches
2.12 goals/match ▲Goals scored34/341.44 goals/match
0.97 goals/matchGoals allowed34/340.94 goals/match
1.8 xG/match ▲Expected goals34/341.45 xG/match
15.6 shots/match ▲Shots34/3413.8 shots/match
5.09 shots/match ▲Shots on target34/344.65 shots/match
59.6% ●Possession34/3454.6%
6.03 corners/match ●Corners34/344.44 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls34/3410.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Apr 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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