PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Empoli 0–1 Lazio · Serie A

Empoli

DDLDL
0–1Historical match

Lazio

DWDWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lazio won 0–1.

Shots
79
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.241.76
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lazio beat Empoli 1–0. Recorded in this match (Empoli – Lazio): shots 7–9, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.24–1.76, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Empoli's recent record differs from the season

weak

Empoli's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.77 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.77 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lazio show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lazio's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.46 shots/match ▲ShotsEmpoli · Lazio13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEmpoliLazioBaseline
Shots9.46 shots/match13.7 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against14.1 shots/match10.2 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Lazio have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.6%PossessionEmpoli · Lazio● 54.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricEmpoliLazioBaseline
Possession40.6%54.9%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots9 shotsEmpoli 7 shots, Lazio 9 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsEmpoli 2 shots, Lazio 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.24 xG1.76 xGEmpoli 0.24 xG, Lazio 1.76 xG
  • Possession37%63%Empoli 37%, Lazio 63%
  • Corners2 corners7 cornersEmpoli 2 corners, Lazio 7 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls8 foulsEmpoli 16 fouls, Lazio 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Valentín Castellanos · Lazio · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOla Solbakken · Empoli · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJunior Sambia · Empoli · 86′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLuca Marianucci · Empoli · 14′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLiberato Cacace · Empoli · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuca Marianucci · Empoli · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Gyasi · Empoli · 80′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 64′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGiuseppe Pezzella · Empoli · 50′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedPedro · Lazio · 72′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAdam Marušić · Lazio · 44′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedPedro · Lazio · 85′ · 0.11 xG · on targetGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 90′ · 0.55 xG · on targetBoulaye Dia · Lazio · 1′ · 0.79 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Empoli: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.25 xG. Lazio: 9 shots, 3 on target, 1.82 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Boulaye Dia · Lazio · 1′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Empoli 0.25 xG · Lazio 1.82 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Empoli
1Draws
4Lazio
Lazio — Empoli · Serie A2–1
Lazio — Empoli · Serie A2–0
Empoli — Lazio · Serie A0–2
Empoli — Lazio · Serie A0–2
Lazio — Empoli · Serie A2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Empoli favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Lazio in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Empoli35 matchesLazio35 matches
0.77 goals/matchGoals scored35/35▲ 1.66 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed35/35▲ 1.29 goals/match
0.85 xG/matchExpected goals35/35▲ 1.48 xG/match
9.46 shots/matchShots35/35▲ 13.7 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target35/35▲ 5.2 shots/match
40.6%Possession35/35● 54.9%
4.2 corners/matchCorners35/35● 6.03 corners/match
14.9 fouls/matchFouls35/3511.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 May 2025, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEmpoliLazio
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headEmpoli — Lazio
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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