PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Monza 0–4 Atalanta · Serie A

Monza

LLLLL
0–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atalanta won 0–4.

Shots
1415
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
0.812.47
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atalanta beat Monza 4–0. Recorded in this match (Monza – Atalanta): shots 14–15, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 0.81–2.47, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Monza's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Monza's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.71 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atalanta show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Atalanta's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.94 shots/match ▲ShotsMonza · Atalanta14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMonzaAtalantaBaseline
Shots8.94 shots/match14.4 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against14.7 shots/match10.4 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Monza have a visible home split

moderate

Monza's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season8.94 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match8.94 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots15 shotsMonza 14 shots, Atalanta 15 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsMonza 7 shots, Atalanta 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.81 xG2.47 xGMonza 0.81 xG, Atalanta 2.47 xG
  • Possession52%48%Monza 52%, Atalanta 48%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersMonza 3 corners, Atalanta 7 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls10 foulsMonza 9 fouls, Atalanta 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gianluca Caprari · Monza · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 52′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedStefan Leković · Monza · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJean-Daniel Akpa Akpro · Monza · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGeorgios Kyriakopoulos · Monza · 39′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGeorgios Kyriakopoulos · Monza · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Caprari · Monza · 36′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSamuele Birindelli · Monza · 19′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 9′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Caprari · Monza · 28′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJean-Daniel Akpa Akpro · Monza · 45′ · 0.06 xG · on targetIsak Hien · Atalanta · 55′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 59′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGeorgios Kyriakopoulos · Monza · 61′ · 0.06 xG · on targetSamuele Birindelli · Monza · 3′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 17′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 18′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedIsak Hien · Atalanta · 87′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 23′ · 0.10 xG · goalDany Mota · Monza · 61′ · 0.10 xG · on targetMarco Brescianini · Atalanta · 88′ · 0.10 xG · goalMarco Brescianini · Atalanta · 88′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedSamuele Vignato · Monza · 75′ · 0.12 xG · on targetAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 47′ · 0.15 xG · goalOmari Forson · Monza · 77′ · 0.15 xG · on targetÉderson · Atalanta · 55′ · 0.47 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Maldini · Atalanta · 80′ · 0.52 xG · on targetCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 12′ · 0.55 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Monza: 14 shots, 7 on target, 0.83 xG. Atalanta: 15 shots, 5 on target, 2.48 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Charles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 12′Charles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 23′Ademola Lookman · Atalanta · 47′Marco Brescianini · Atalanta · 88′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Monza 0.83 xG · Atalanta 2.48 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Monza
0Draws
5Atalanta
Atalanta — Monza · Serie A2–0
Monza — Atalanta · Serie A1–2
Atalanta — Monza · Serie A3–0
Atalanta — Monza · Serie A5–2
Monza — Atalanta · Serie A0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Monza favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Atalanta in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Monza35 matchesAtalanta35 matches
0.71 goals/matchGoals scored35/35▲ 2.03 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed35/35▲ 0.89 goals/match
0.8 xG/matchExpected goals35/35▲ 1.75 xG/match
8.94 shots/matchShots35/35▲ 14.4 shots/match
2.71 shots/matchShots on target35/35▲ 5.14 shots/match
48.2%Possession35/35● 55.6%
3.66 corners/matchCorners35/35● 5.17 corners/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls35/3511.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 May 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMonzaAtalanta
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headMonza — Atalanta
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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