Serie A · 2024

Atalanta 1–1 Lecce · Serie A

1–1Historical match

Lecce

LLDLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atalanta and Lecce drew 1–1.

Shots
2110
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
2.161.53
Possession
74%26%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atalanta and Lecce drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Atalanta – Lecce): shots 21–10, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 2.16–1.53, possession 74%–26%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atalanta's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atalanta's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.97 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.97 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atalanta show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Atalanta's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAtalanta · Lecce12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtalantaLecceBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match12.2 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against10.3 shots/match14.1 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Atalanta have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.9% ●PossessionAtalanta · Lecce43.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAtalantaLecceBaseline
Possession55.9%43.9%48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots10 shotsAtalanta 21 shots, Lecce 10 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsAtalanta 6 shots, Lecce 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.16 xG1.53 xGAtalanta 2.16 xG, Lecce 1.53 xG
  • Possession74%26%Atalanta 74%, Lecce 26%
  • Corners12 corners3 cornersAtalanta 12 corners, Lecce 3 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls8 foulsAtalanta 10 fouls, Lecce 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mateo Retegui · Atalanta · 7′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFederico Baschirotto · Lecce · 25′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKialonda Gaspar · Lecce · 78′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAnte Rebić · Lecce · 66′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBerat Djimsiti · Atalanta · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Kaba · Lecce · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedÉderson · Atalanta · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBerat Djimsiti · Atalanta · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJesper Karlsson · Lecce · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedÉderson · Atalanta · 73′ · 0.05 xG · on targetIsak Hien · Atalanta · 33′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 43′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLassana Coulibaly · Lecce · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Pierotti · Lecce · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedÉderson · Atalanta · 52′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 15′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 35′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 71′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBerat Djimsiti · Atalanta · 67′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLassana Coulibaly · Lecce · 24′ · 0.16 xG · on targetJuan Cuadrado · Atalanta · 65′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 6′ · 0.20 xG · on targetAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 45′ · 0.22 xG · on targetMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 58′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Pierotti · Lecce · 56′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedJesper Karlsson · Lecce · 29′ · 0.82 xG · goalMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 69′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atalanta: 21 shots, 6 on target, 2.43 xG. Lecce: 10 shots, 3 on target, 1.53 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Mateo Retegui · Atalanta · 69′Jesper Karlsson · Lecce · 29′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atalanta 2.43 xG · Lecce 1.53 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Atalanta
0Draws
2Lecce
Lecce — Atalanta · Serie A0–4
Lecce — Atalanta · Serie A0–2
Atalanta — Lecce · Serie A1–0
Atalanta — Lecce · Serie A1–2
Lecce — Atalanta · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atalanta favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Lecce in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atalanta34 matchesLecce34 matches
1.97 goals/match ▲Goals scored34/340.71 goals/match
0.91 goals/match ▲Goals allowed34/341.65 goals/match
1.73 xG/match ▲Expected goals34/340.95 xG/match
14.4 shots/match ▲Shots34/3412.2 shots/match
5.15 shots/match ▲Shots on target34/343.35 shots/match
55.9% ●Possession34/3443.9%
5.12 corners/match ●Corners34/344.32 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls34/3412.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Apr 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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