PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Napoli 2–0 Torino · Serie A

Napoli

DWDWW
2–0Historical match

Torino

WDDLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Napoli won 2–0.

Shots
89
Shots on target
20
Expected goals
1.170.83
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Napoli beat Torino 2–0. Recorded in this match (Napoli – Torino): shots 8–9, shots on target 2–0, expected goals 1.17–0.83, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Torino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Torino's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.12 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.12 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Napoli have a visible home split

moderate

Napoli's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.9 shots/match13.2 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Torino show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Torino's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.2 shots/match ▲ShotsNapoli · Torino9.68 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNapoliTorinoBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match9.68 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against9.91 shots/match14.3 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots9 shotsNapoli 8 shots, Torino 9 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots0 shotsNapoli 2 shots, Torino 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.17 xG0.83 xGNapoli 1.17 xG, Torino 0.83 xG
  • Possession58%42%Napoli 58%, Torino 42%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersNapoli 2 corners, Torino 5 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls13 foulsNapoli 5 fouls, Torino 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Amir Rrahmani · Napoli · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIvan Ilić · Torino · 50′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYann Karamoh · Torino · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSaúl Coco · Torino · 1′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKarol Linetty · Torino · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedValentino Lazaro · Torino · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEljif Elmas · Torino · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRomelu Lukaku · Napoli · 2′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKarol Linetty · Torino · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFrank Anguissa · Napoli · 3′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedChe Adams · Torino · 1′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFrank Anguissa · Napoli · 3′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedScott McTominay · Napoli · 41′ · 0.08 xG · goalMathías Olivera · Napoli · 3′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedScott McTominay · Napoli · 7′ · 0.17 xG · goalPhilip Billing · Napoli · 62′ · 0.61 xG · off target or blockedChe Adams · Torino · 11′ · 0.64 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Napoli: 8 shots, 2 on target, 1.15 xG. Torino: 9 shots, 0 on target, 0.85 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Scott McTominay · Napoli · 7′Scott McTominay · Napoli · 41′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Napoli 1.15 xG · Torino 0.85 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Napoli
1Draws
1Torino
Torino — Napoli · Serie A0–1
Napoli — Torino · Serie A1–1
Torino — Napoli · Serie A3–0
Torino — Napoli · Serie A0–4
Napoli — Torino · Serie A3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Napoli favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Torino in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Napoli34 matchesTorino34 matches
1.59 goals/match ▲Goals scored34/341.12 goals/match
0.74 goals/match ▲Goals allowed34/341.15 goals/match
1.44 xG/match ▲Expected goals34/340.9 xG/match
13.2 shots/match ▲Shots34/349.68 shots/match
4 shots/match ▲Shots on target34/343.38 shots/match
53.6% ●Possession34/3447.1%
5.56 corners/match ●Corners34/344.06 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls34/3412.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Apr 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNapoliTorino
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headNapoli — Torino
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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