PitchMath
Serie A · 2024Wed, 23 Apr 2025, 16:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Torino

DWDDL
2–0Full-time recap

Udinese

DLLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricTorinoUdinese
Shots10 shots/match10 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match6 shots/match▲
Expected goals0.92 xG/match1.13 xG/match▲
Possession44%56%●
Corners8 corners/match●7 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Gvidas Gineitis · Torino · 68′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGvidas Gineitis · Torino · 75′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHassane Kamara · Udinese · 78′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedChe Adams · Torino · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKarol Linetty · Torino · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSamuele Ricci · Torino · 39′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJürgen Ekkelenkamp · Udinese · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSimone Pafundi · Udinese · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIker Bravo · Udinese · 29′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGuillermo Maripán · Torino · 25′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKarol Linetty · Torino · 39′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKeinan Davis · Udinese · 70′ · 0.08 xG · on targetKeinan Davis · Udinese · 82′ · 0.08 xG · on targetSandi Lovrić · Udinese · 54′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAli Dembélé · Torino · 85′ · 0.10 xG · goalMartín Payero · Udinese · 72′ · 0.13 xG · on targetCesare Casadei · Torino · 12′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedArthur Atta · Udinese · 55′ · 0.26 xG · on targetKeinan Davis · Udinese · 89′ · 0.35 xG · on targetChe Adams · Torino · 39′ · 0.46 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Torino: 10 shots, 4 on target, 0.89 xG. Udinese: 10 shots, 6 on target, 1.10 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Che Adams · Torino · 39′Ali Dembélé · Torino · 85′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Torino 0.89 xG · Udinese 1.10 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Udinese's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Udinese's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Udinese's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.09 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match1.09 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Torino
2Draws
0Udinese
Udinese — Torino · Serie A2–2
Udinese — Torino · Serie A0–2
Torino — Udinese · Serie A1–1
Torino — Udinese · Serie A1–0
Udinese — Torino · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Torino favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Udinese in 6 · 4 too close

1.15 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 33/331.09 goals/match
1.12 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 33/331.45 goals/match
0.9 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 33/33▲1.03 xG/match
1.35 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 33/331.34 xG/match
9.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 33/33▲11.2 shots/match
14.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 33/33▲13 shots/match
3.48 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 33/33▲3.82 shots/match
4.85 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 33/33▲4.45 shots/match
47.2%Possessionseason · 33/33●47.7%
4.03 corners/matchCornersseason · 33/33●4.76 corners/match
5.58 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 33/33▲5.21 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
12.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 33/3313.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
30%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 33/3324%
73%Scoring frequencyseason · 33/3370%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Torino37.5
Udinese47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Torino31.7
Udinese39.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Torino35
Udinese36.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Torino7.5
Udinese37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Torino57.5
Udinese77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Torino17.5
Udinese62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Torino31.2
Udinese55
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Torino33 matchesUdinese33 matches
1.15 goals/match▲Goals scored33/331.09 goals/match
1.12 goals/match▲Goals allowed33/331.45 goals/match
0.9 xG/matchExpected goals33/33▲1.03 xG/match
9.7 shots/matchShots33/33▲11.2 shots/match
3.48 shots/matchShots on target33/33▲3.82 shots/match
47.2%Possession33/33●47.7%
4.03 corners/matchCorners33/33●4.76 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.9 fouls/matchFouls33/3313.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Torino16 matchesUdinese17 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored16/171 goals/match
0.81 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/171.53 goals/match
0.88 xG/matchExpected goals16/17▲1.01 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots16/17▲11.1 shots/match
3.19 shots/matchShots on target16/17▲3.82 shots/match
48.9%●Possession16/1747.8%
4.44 corners/matchCorners16/17●4.65 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.4 fouls/matchFouls16/1713.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

10 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/111.9 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 23 Apr 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsTorinoUdinese
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match