Roma 1–0 Fiorentina — Serie A 2024/25 Match Stats

Serie A · 2024Sun, 4 May 2025, 16:00 UTC

Roma

WDDWW

1–0Historical match

Fiorentina

WDDWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Roma won 1–0.

Shots: 1213
Shots on target: 45
Expected goals: 0.630.96
Possession: 41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Roma beat Fiorentina 1–0. Recorded in this match (Roma – Fiorentina): shots 12–13, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 0.63–0.96, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Roma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Roma's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goal/match	1.43 goals/match	1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

Shots12 shots13 shotsRoma 12 shots, Fiorentina 13 shots
Shots on target4 shots5 shotsRoma 4 shots, Fiorentina 5 shots
Expected goals0.63 xG0.96 xGRoma 0.63 xG, Fiorentina 0.96 xG
Possession41%59%Roma 41%, Fiorentina 59%
Corners7 corners4 cornersRoma 7 corners, Fiorentina 4 corners
Fouls9 fouls8 foulsRoma 9 fouls, Fiorentina 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Roma: 12 shots, 4 on target, 0.64 xG. Fiorentina: 13 shots, 5 on target, 0.96 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Roma 0.64 xG · Fiorentina 0.96 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Roma

2Draws

2Fiorentina

27 Oct 2024Fiorentina — Roma · Serie A5–1

10 Mar 2024Fiorentina — Roma · Serie A2–2

10 Dec 2023Roma — Fiorentina · Serie A1–1

27 May 2023Fiorentina — Roma · Serie A2–1

15 Jan 2023Roma — Fiorentina · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Roma favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Fiorentina in 1 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Roma35 matchesFiorentina35 matches

1.43 goals/matchGoals scored35/35▲ 1.51 goals/match

0.91 goals/match ▲Goals allowed35/351 goal/match

1.43 xG/match ▲Expected goals35/351.25 xG/match

13.8 shots/match ▲Shots35/3511.4 shots/match

4.63 shots/matchShots on target35/354.4 shots/match

54.2% ●Possession35/3549.9%

4.51 corners/match ●Corners35/353.8 corners/match

10.5 fouls/matchFouls35/3511.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited

Season samples35 / 35home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 May 2025, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4