PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Bologna 1–1 Juventus · Serie A

Bologna

WDLWD
1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bologna and Juventus drew 1–1.

Shots
96
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.440.77
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bologna and Juventus drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Bologna – Juventus): shots 9–6, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.44–0.77, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bologna's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.51 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.51 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots6 shotsBologna 9 shots, Juventus 6 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsBologna 2 shots, Juventus 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.44 xG0.77 xGBologna 0.44 xG, Juventus 0.77 xG
  • Possession65%35%Bologna 65%, Juventus 35%
  • Corners10 corners3 cornersBologna 10 corners, Juventus 3 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls19 foulsBologna 6 fouls, Juventus 19 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Khéphren Thuram · Juventus · 9′ · 0.02 xG · goalRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSam Beukema · Bologna · 35′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Cambiaghi · Bologna · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedManuel Locatelli · Juventus · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedThijs Dallinga · Bologna · 7′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLewis Ferguson · Bologna · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLewis Ferguson · Bologna · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Cambiaso · Juventus · 1′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Cambiaghi · Bologna · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNicolás González · Juventus · 57′ · 0.12 xG · on targetRemo Freuler · Bologna · 54′ · 0.13 xG · goalSamuel Mbangula · Juventus · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Costa · Juventus · 76′ · 0.40 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bologna: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.45 xG. Juventus: 6 shots, 3 on target, 0.79 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Remo Freuler · Bologna · 54′Khéphren Thuram · Juventus · 9′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bologna 0.45 xG · Juventus 0.79 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Bologna
4Draws
1Juventus
Juventus — Bologna · Serie A2–2
Bologna — Juventus · Serie A3–3
Juventus — Bologna · Serie A1–1
Bologna — Juventus · Serie A1–1
Juventus — Bologna · Serie A3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bologna favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Juventus in 3 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bologna35 matchesJuventus35 matches
1.51 goals/matchGoals scored35/351.49 goals/match
1.09 goals/matchGoals allowed35/35▲ 0.91 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goals35/351.33 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots35/3513.4 shots/match
4.63 shots/matchShots on target35/35▲ 4.94 shots/match
58.7% ●Possession35/3557.8%
4.8 corners/matchCorners35/35● 4.83 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls35/3512.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 May 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBolognaJuventus
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headBologna — Juventus
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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