Serie A · 2024

Lazio 2–2 Parma · Serie A

Lazio

LDWDW
2–2Historical match

Parma

DDDDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lazio and Parma drew 2–2.

Shots
147
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
1.410.87
Possession
70%30%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lazio and Parma drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Lazio – Parma): shots 14–7, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 1.41–0.87, possession 70%–30%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Parma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Parma's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.6 shots/match11.3 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lazio show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lazio's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLazio · Parma11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLazioParmaBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match11.3 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against10.3 shots/match14.6 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Lazio have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.6% ●PossessionLazio · Parma44.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLazioParmaBaseline
Possession54.6%44.4%48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots7 shotsLazio 14 shots, Parma 7 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsLazio 7 shots, Parma 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.41 xG0.87 xGLazio 1.41 xG, Parma 0.87 xG
  • Possession70%30%Lazio 70%, Parma 30%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerLazio 5 corners, Parma 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls11 foulsLazio 12 fouls, Parma 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Valentín Castellanos · Lazio · 29′ · 0.01 xG · on targetPedro · Lazio · 70′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSimon Sohm · Parma · 12′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAdam Marušić · Lazio · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBoulaye Dia · Lazio · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJacob Ondrejka · Parma · 46′ · 0.03 xG · goalValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 13′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Rovella · Lazio · 26′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDennis Man · Parma · 72′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAlessio Romagnoli · Lazio · 87′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJacob Ondrejka · Parma · 3′ · 0.08 xG · goalMattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 31′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPedro · Lazio · 79′ · 0.10 xG · goalMattéo Guendouzi · Lazio · 86′ · 0.10 xG · on targetLoum Tchaouna · Lazio · 79′ · 0.11 xG · on targetPedro · Lazio · 84′ · 0.18 xG · goalDennis Man · Parma · 90′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedEmanuele Valeri · Parma · 7′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedLuca Pellegrini · Lazio · 67′ · 0.25 xG · on targetMateo Pellegrino · Parma · 54′ · 0.31 xG · on targetGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 69′ · 0.35 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lazio: 14 shots, 7 on target, 1.40 xG. Parma: 7 shots, 5 on target, 0.89 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Pedro · Lazio · 79′Pedro · Lazio · 84′Jacob Ondrejka · Parma · 3′Jacob Ondrejka · Parma · 46′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lazio 1.40 xG · Parma 0.89 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Lazio
0Draws
1Parma
Parma — Lazio · Serie A3–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lazio favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Parma in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lazio34 matchesParma34 matches
1.68 goals/match ▲Goals scored34/341.18 goals/match
1.32 goals/match ▲Goals allowed34/341.56 goals/match
1.47 xG/match ▲Expected goals34/341.14 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots34/3411.3 shots/match
5.26 shots/match ▲Shots on target34/343.82 shots/match
54.6% ●Possession34/3444.4%
6 corners/match ●Corners34/344.53 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls34/3410.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 28 Apr 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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