Serie A · 2024

Parma 0–1 Como · Serie A

Parma

DDDWD
0–1Historical match

Como

DWWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Como won 0–1.

Shots
1313
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
2.710.77
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Como beat Parma 1–0. Recorded in this match (Parma – Como): shots 13–13, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 2.71–0.77, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Como's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Como's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.29 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Como show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Como's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsParma · Como13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricParmaComoBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match13.5 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against14.5 shots/match9.91 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Como have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.2%PossessionParma · Como● 54.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricParmaComoBaseline
Possession44.2%54.6%48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots13 shotsParma 13 shots, Como 13 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsParma 3 shots, Como 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.71 xG0.77 xGParma 2.71 xG, Como 0.77 xG
  • Possession39%61%Parma 39%, Como 61%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersParma 5 corners, Como 5 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls14 foulsParma 16 fouls, Como 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jacob Ondrejka · Parma · 49′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLucas Da Cunha · Como · 65′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMarc-Oliver Kempf · Como · 70′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moreno · Como · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 69′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMarc-Oliver Kempf · Como · 42′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMarc-Oliver Kempf · Como · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMateo Pellegrino · Parma · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJacob Ondrejka · Parma · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnge-Yoan Bonny · Parma · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Cutrone · Como · 1′ · 0.05 xG · on targetGiovanni Leoni · Parma · 40′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDennis Man · Parma · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDennis Man · Parma · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 42′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Ikoné · Como · 69′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMateo Pellegrino · Parma · 52′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Ikoné · Como · 29′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMateo Pellegrino · Parma · 8′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Ikoné · Como · 72′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedEmanuele Valeri · Parma · 58′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Strefezza · Como · 79′ · 0.20 xG · goalDennis Man · Parma · 90′ · 0.30 xG · on targetMateo Pellegrino · Parma · 44′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedDennis Man · Parma · 90′ · 0.61 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Parma: 13 shots, 3 on target, 1.91 xG. Como: 13 shots, 4 on target, 0.80 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Gabriel Strefezza · Como · 79′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Parma 1.91 xG · Como 0.80 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Parma
2Draws
1Como
Como — Parma · Serie A1–1
Como — Parma · Serie B1–1
Parma — Como · Serie B2–1
Como — Parma · Serie B2–0
Parma — Como · Serie B1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Parma favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Como in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Parma35 matchesComo35 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored35/35▲ 1.29 goals/match
1.54 goals/matchGoals allowed35/35▲ 1.37 goals/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goals35/351.19 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots35/35▲ 13.5 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target35/35▲ 4.71 shots/match
44.2%Possession35/35● 54.6%
4.54 corners/match ●Corners35/354.46 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls35/3513.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 May 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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