Serie A · 2024

Cagliari 1–2 Udinese · Serie A

1–2Historical match

Udinese

LLLLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Udinese won 1–2.

Shots
811
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.931.46
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Udinese beat Cagliari 2–1. Recorded in this match (Cagliari – Udinese): shots 8–11, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.93–1.46, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Udinese's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Udinese's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.09 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.09 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cagliari have a visible home split

moderate

Cagliari's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match11.2 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots11 shotsCagliari 8 shots, Udinese 11 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsCagliari 2 shots, Udinese 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.93 xG1.46 xGCagliari 0.93 xG, Udinese 1.46 xG
  • Possession45%55%Cagliari 45%, Udinese 55%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersCagliari 5 corners, Udinese 4 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls15 foulsCagliari 5 fouls, Udinese 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Sandi Lovrić · Udinese · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJesper Karlström · Udinese · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJosé Luis Palomino · Cagliari · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKeinan Davis · Udinese · 37′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSandi Lovrić · Udinese · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKeinan Davis · Udinese · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedArthur Atta · Udinese · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKeinan Davis · Udinese · 41′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOier Zarraga · Udinese · 60′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMichel Adopo · Cagliari · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 10′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedZito Luvumbo · Cagliari · 48′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Sánchez · Udinese · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 10′ · 0.17 xG · on targetRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 26′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedOier Zarraga · Udinese · 27′ · 0.20 xG · goalNadir Zortea · Cagliari · 35′ · 0.44 xG · goalThomas Kristensen · Udinese · 67′ · 0.88 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Cagliari: 8 shots, 2 on target, 1.07 xG. Udinese: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.49 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Nadir Zortea · Cagliari · 35′Oier Zarraga · Udinese · 27′Thomas Kristensen · Udinese · 67′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cagliari 1.07 xG · Udinese 1.49 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Cagliari
2Draws
3Udinese
Udinese — Cagliari · Serie A2–0
Udinese — Cagliari · Serie A1–1
Cagliari — Udinese · Serie A0–0
Udinese — Cagliari · Serie A5–1
Cagliari — Udinese · Serie A0–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cagliari favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Udinese in 5 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cagliari35 matchesUdinese35 matches
1.03 goals/matchGoals scored35/35▲ 1.09 goals/match
1.46 goals/matchGoals allowed35/351.4 goals/match
1.14 xG/match ▲Expected goals35/351.03 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots35/3511.3 shots/match
3.26 shots/matchShots on target35/35▲ 3.8 shots/match
45.3%Possession35/35● 47.6%
4.83 corners/match ●Corners35/354.74 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls35/3514.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 May 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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