Serie A · 2024

Empoli 2–1 Parma · Serie A

Empoli

DLDLL
2–1Historical match

Parma

DDWDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Empoli won 2–1.

Shots
153
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
0.610.27
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Empoli beat Parma 2–1. Recorded in this match (Empoli – Parma): shots 15–3, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 0.61–0.27, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Parma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Parma's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.2 shots/match11.1 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots3 shotsEmpoli 15 shots, Parma 3 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotEmpoli 4 shots, Parma 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.61 xG0.27 xGEmpoli 0.61 xG, Parma 0.27 xG
  • Possession46%54%Empoli 46%, Parma 54%
  • Corners4 corners0 cornersEmpoli 4 corners, Parma 0 corners
  • Fouls21 fouls16 foulsEmpoli 21 fouls, Parma 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jacopo Fazzini · Empoli · 58′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMilan Đurić · Parma · 73′ · 0.01 xG · goalTino Anjorin · Empoli · 86′ · 0.01 xG · goalAlberto Grassi · Empoli · 14′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLiam Henderson · Empoli · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuca Marianucci · Empoli · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJunior Sambia · Empoli · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Gyasi · Empoli · 35′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJacopo Fazzini · Empoli · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLiberato Cacace · Empoli · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJacopo Fazzini · Empoli · 11′ · 0.04 xG · goalHernani · Parma · 82′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Esposito · Empoli · 33′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLiberato Cacace · Empoli · 24′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLiberato Cacace · Empoli · 44′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Konate · Empoli · 90′ · 0.09 xG · on targetJacopo Fazzini · Empoli · 88′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMateo Pellegrino · Parma · 21′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Empoli: 15 shots, 4 on target, 0.60 xG. Parma: 3 shots, 1 on target, 0.28 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Jacopo Fazzini · Empoli · 11′Tino Anjorin · Empoli · 86′Milan Đurić · Parma · 73′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Empoli 0.60 xG · Parma 0.28 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Empoli
1Draws
0Parma
Parma — Empoli · Serie A1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Empoli favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Parma in 5 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Empoli36 matchesParma36 matches
0.81 goals/matchGoals scored36/36▲ 1.14 goals/match
1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed36/361.56 goals/match
0.84 xG/matchExpected goals36/36▲ 1.16 xG/match
9.61 shots/matchShots36/36▲ 11.1 shots/match
2.83 shots/matchShots on target36/36▲ 3.72 shots/match
40.8%Possession36/36● 44.5%
4.19 corners/matchCorners36/36● 4.42 corners/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls36/3610.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 May 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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