PitchMath
Serie A · 2024Sat, 10 May 2025, 18:45 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Empoli

DLDLL
2–1Full-time recap

Parma

DDWDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricEmpoliParma
Shots15 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Expected goals0.61 xG/match▲0.27 xG/match
Possession46%54%●
Corners4 corners/match●0 corners/match
Fouls21 fouls/match16 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Jacopo Fazzini · Empoli · 58′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMilan Đurić · Parma · 73′ · 0.01 xG · goalTino Anjorin · Empoli · 86′ · 0.01 xG · goalAlberto Grassi · Empoli · 14′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLiam Henderson · Empoli · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuca Marianucci · Empoli · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJunior Sambia · Empoli · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Gyasi · Empoli · 35′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJacopo Fazzini · Empoli · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLiberato Cacace · Empoli · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJacopo Fazzini · Empoli · 11′ · 0.04 xG · goalHernani · Parma · 82′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Esposito · Empoli · 33′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLiberato Cacace · Empoli · 24′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLiberato Cacace · Empoli · 44′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Konate · Empoli · 90′ · 0.09 xG · on targetJacopo Fazzini · Empoli · 88′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMateo Pellegrino · Parma · 21′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Empoli: 15 shots, 4 on target, 0.60 xG. Parma: 3 shots, 1 on target, 0.28 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Jacopo Fazzini · Empoli · 11′Tino Anjorin · Empoli · 86′Milan Đurić · Parma · 73′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Empoli 0.60 xG · Parma 0.28 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Parma's last-five shots average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Parma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Parma's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.2 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.2 shots/match11.1 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Empoli
1Draws
0Parma
Parma — Empoli · Serie A1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Empoli favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Parma in 5 · 6 too close

0.81 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 36/36▲1.14 goals/match
1.56 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 36/361.56 goals/match
0.84 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 36/36▲1.16 xG/match
1.34 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 36/361.57 xG/match
9.61 shots/matchShotsseason · 36/36▲11.1 shots/match
13.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 36/3614.6 shots/match
2.83 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 36/36▲3.72 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 36/364.39 shots/match
40.8%Possessionseason · 36/36●44.5%
4.19 corners/matchCornersseason · 36/36●4.42 corners/match
5.31 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 36/366 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
15.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 36/3610.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 36/3617%
58%Scoring frequencyseason · 36/36▲72%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Empoli7.5
Parma17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Empoli12.5
Parma42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Empoli26.7
Parma20
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Empoli37.5
Parma62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Empoli97.5
Parma12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Empoli27.5
Parma42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Empoli36.2
Parma33.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Empoli36 matchesParma36 matches
0.81 goals/matchGoals scored36/36▲1.14 goals/match
1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed36/361.56 goals/match
0.84 xG/matchExpected goals36/36▲1.16 xG/match
9.61 shots/matchShots36/36▲11.1 shots/match
2.83 shots/matchShots on target36/36▲3.72 shots/match
40.8%Possession36/36●44.5%
4.19 corners/matchCorners36/36●4.42 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
15.1 fouls/matchFouls36/3610.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Empoli18 matchesParma18 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲0.89 goals/match
1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed18/181.56 goals/match
0.62 xG/matchExpected goals18/18▲0.83 xG/match
8.89 shots/matchShots18/18▲10.3 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲3.39 shots/match
41.7%Possession18/18●44.8%
3.94 corners/matchCorners18/18●4.72 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
13.8 fouls/matchFouls18/1810.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.34 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.24 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 May 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsEmpoliParma
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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Empoli vs Parma — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath