Serie A · 2024

Como 3–1 Cagliari · Serie A

Como

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3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Como won 3–1.

Shots
199
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
2.020.81
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Como beat Cagliari 3–1. Recorded in this match (Como – Cagliari): shots 19–9, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 2.02–0.81, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Como's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Como's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.33 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cagliari have a visible away split

moderate

Cagliari's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.94 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.94 shots/match11.1 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Como show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Como's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsComo · Cagliari11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricComoCagliariBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match11.1 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against9.89 shots/match13.2 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots9 shotsComo 19 shots, Cagliari 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsComo 5 shots, Cagliari 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.02 xG0.81 xGComo 2.02 xG, Cagliari 0.81 xG
  • Possession62%38%Como 62%, Cagliari 38%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerComo 5 corners, Cagliari 1 corner
  • Fouls9 fouls15 foulsComo 9 fouls, Cagliari 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Álex Valle · Como · 14′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedÁlex Valle · Como · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Strefezza · Como · 45′ · 0.02 xG · goalGabriele Zappa · Cagliari · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNadir Zortea · Cagliari · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMáximo Perrone · Como · 6′ · 0.03 xG · on targetZito Luvumbo · Cagliari · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Viola · Cagliari · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEdoardo Goldaniga · Como · 28′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMichel Adopo · Cagliari · 22′ · 0.06 xG · goalAnastasios Douvikas · Como · 32′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 33′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMaxence Caqueret · Como · 43′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAnastasios Douvikas · Como · 36′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Viola · Cagliari · 48′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlieu Fadera · Como · 81′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Caqueret · Como · 5′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Cutrone · Como · 84′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAnastasios Douvikas · Como · 28′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMarc-Oliver Kempf · Como · 28′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAnastasios Douvikas · Como · 15′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Cutrone · Como · 80′ · 0.17 xG · on targetRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 90′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Cutrone · Como · 77′ · 0.29 xG · goalRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 57′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Caqueret · Como · 40′ · 0.44 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Como: 19 shots, 5 on target, 2.02 xG. Cagliari: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.87 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Maxence Caqueret · Como · 40′Gabriel Strefezza · Como · 45′Patrick Cutrone · Como · 77′Michel Adopo · Cagliari · 22′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Como 2.02 xG · Cagliari 0.87 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Como
2Draws
1Cagliari
Cagliari — Como · Serie A1–1
Cagliari — Como · Serie B2–0
Como — Cagliari · Serie B1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Como favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Cagliari in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Como36 matchesCagliari36 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored36/361.03 goals/match
1.36 goals/match ▲Goals allowed36/361.5 goals/match
1.21 xG/match ▲Expected goals36/361.13 xG/match
13.6 shots/match ▲Shots36/3611.1 shots/match
4.72 shots/match ▲Shots on target36/363.25 shots/match
54.8% ●Possession36/3645.1%
4.47 corners/matchCorners36/36● 4.72 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls36/3613.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 May 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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