La Liga · 2023Sun, 3 Sept 2023, 14:15 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
00Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricMallorcaAthletic Club
Shots8 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals0.4 xG/match0.62 xG/match
Possession33%67%
Corners3 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match17 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Gorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 27′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRaúl García · Athletic Club · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 10′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDani Rodríguez · Mallorca · 17′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMikel Vesga · Athletic Club · 35′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 59′ · 0.03 xG · on targetManu Morlanes · Mallorca · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPablo Maffeo · Mallorca · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNico Williams · Athletic Club · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIker Muniain · Athletic Club · 64′ · 0.04 xG · on targetVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSergi Darder · Mallorca · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 73′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJavi Llabrés · Mallorca · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedÍñigo Lekue · Athletic Club · 47′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedIker Muniain · Athletic Club · 65′ · 0.08 xG · on targetSiebe Van Der Heyden · Mallorca · 70′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedOihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 24′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedIker Muniain · Athletic Club · 83′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Mallorca: 8 shots, 1 on target, 0.40 xG. Athletic Club: 11 shots, 3 on target, 0.60 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Mallorca 0.40 xG · Athletic Club 0.60 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: Athletic Club's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

18.3 fouls/matchFoulsMallorca · Athletic Club18 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricMallorcaAthletic ClubBaseline
Fouls18.3 fouls/match18 fouls/match13.3 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Athletic Club show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Athletic Club's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.25 shots/matchShotsMallorca · Athletic Club10 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMallorcaAthletic ClubBaseline
Shots9.25 shots/match10 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against10.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Athletic Club have recorded the higher season possession share.

37.8%PossessionMallorca · Athletic Club49.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricMallorcaAthletic ClubBaseline
Possession37.8%49.5%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Mallorca
2Draws
1Athletic Club
MallorcaAthletic Club · La Liga11
Athletic ClubMallorca · La Liga00
MallorcaAthletic Club · La Liga32
Athletic ClubMallorca · La Liga20

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Mallorca favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 0 · 13 too close

0.75 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/41.5 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/41 goals/match
1.3 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.38 xG/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/40.79 xG/match
9.25 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/410 shots/match
10.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/412.3 shots/match
2.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/43 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/45.25 shots/match
37.8%Possessionseason · 4/449.5%
4.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/45 corners/match
4.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/44 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
18.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/418 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/450%
50%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/450%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Mallorca7.5
Athletic Club47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Mallorca11.7
Athletic Club38.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Mallorca68.3
Athletic Club43.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Mallorca42.5
Athletic Club17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Mallorca82.5
Athletic Club77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Mallorca47.5
Athletic Club65
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Mallorca38.1
Athletic Club49.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Mallorca4 matchesAthletic Club4 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/41.5 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41 goals/match
1.3 xG/matchExpected goals4/41.38 xG/match
9.25 shots/matchShots4/410 shots/match
2.5 shots/matchShots on target4/43 shots/match
37.8%Possession4/449.5%
4.5 corners/matchCorners4/45 corners/match
Cards0/0
18.3 fouls/matchFouls4/418 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Mallorca2 matchesAthletic Club2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.86 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.78 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Sept 2023, 18:15 UTC · analysis-v4

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