La Liga · 2023Sun, 3 Sept 2023, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
12Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricOsasunaBarcelona
Shots11 shots/match9 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals0.77 xG/match2 xG/match
Possession30%70%
Corners8 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls6 fouls/match16 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Kike Barja · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJules Koundé · Barcelona · 42′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIker Muñoz · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 26′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJosé Manuel Arnáiz · Osasuna · 23′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJules Koundé · Barcelona · 45′ · 0.04 xG · goalAlejandro Catena · Osasuna · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChimy Ávila · Osasuna · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChimy Ávila · Osasuna · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPablo Ibáñez · Osasuna · 8′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJosé Manuel Arnáiz · Osasuna · 27′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIker Muñoz · Osasuna · 29′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedChimy Ávila · Osasuna · 76′ · 0.06 xG · goalLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 10′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFrenkie de Jong · Barcelona · 1′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedİlkay Gündoğan · Barcelona · 10′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Christensen · Barcelona · 45′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedAimar Oroz · Osasuna · 32′ · 0.38 xG · on targetRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 1′ · 0.75 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 86′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Osasuna: 11 shots, 3 on target, 0.79 xG. Barcelona: 9 shots, 4 on target, 2.14 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Chimy Ávila · Osasuna · 76′Jules Koundé · Barcelona · 45′Robert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 86′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Osasuna 0.79 xG · Barcelona 2.14 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share. A second useful context is: Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.5%PossessionOsasuna · Barcelona70.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 26.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricOsasunaBarcelonaBaseline
Possession43.5%70.3%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/matchShotsOsasuna · Barcelona17 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOsasunaBarcelonaBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match17 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against11 shots/match9.75 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Osasuna
1Draws
3Barcelona
BarcelonaOsasuna · La Liga10
OsasunaBarcelona · La Liga12
BarcelonaOsasuna · La Liga40
OsasunaBarcelona · La Liga22

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Osasuna favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Barcelona in 0 · 13 too close

1.25 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/42 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/41 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/42.51 xG/match
1.56 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.09 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/417 shots/match
11 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/49.75 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/47.25 shots/match
2.75 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/43 shots/match
43.5%Possessionseason · 4/470.3%
4.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/46.25 corners/match
5.25 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/43.75 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/412.5 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/450%
75%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/475%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Osasuna17.5
Barcelona97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Osasuna48.3
Barcelona91.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Osasuna65.8
Barcelona80
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Osasuna72.5
Barcelona37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Osasuna7.5
Barcelona22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Osasuna45
Barcelona92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Osasuna38.1
Barcelona75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Osasuna4 matchesBarcelona4 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/42 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals4/42.51 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots4/417 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target4/47.25 shots/match
43.5%Possession4/470.3%
4.5 corners/matchCorners4/46.25 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.5 fouls/matchFouls4/412.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Osasuna2 matchesBarcelona3 matches
Goals scored2/32 goals/match
Goals allowed2/31.33 goals/match
Expected goals2/32.19 xG/match
Shots2/314.7 shots/match
Shots on target2/36.33 shots/match
Possession2/368.7%
Corners2/35 corners/match
Cards0/0
Fouls2/313.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.06 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.15 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Sept 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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