La Liga · 2023Sat, 16 Sept 2023, 12:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
30Full-time recap

Cádiz

WLDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAthletic ClubCádiz
Shots20 shots/match5 shots/match
Shots on target9 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals2.87 xG/match0.29 xG/match
Possession66%34%
Corners5 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match20 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Álex Berenguer · Athletic Club · 36′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJavier Hernández · Cádiz · 38′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYuri Berchiche · Athletic Club · 65′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMikel Vesga · Athletic Club · 4′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 76′ · 0.03 xG · on targetÁlvaro Negredo · Cádiz · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 25′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÁlex Berenguer · Athletic Club · 43′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJavier Hernández · Cádiz · 73′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 52′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 65′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIza Carcelén · Cádiz · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetOihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 58′ · 0.07 xG · on targetIker Muniain · Athletic Club · 75′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 77′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 77′ · 0.11 xG · on targetMaximiliano Gómez · Cádiz · 65′ · 0.14 xG · on targetGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 24′ · 0.17 xG · on targetAitor Paredes · Athletic Club · 57′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedOihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 42′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedOihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 28′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedAsier Villalibre · Athletic Club · 68′ · 0.26 xG · goalGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 58′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 66′ · 0.43 xG · goalIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 90′ · 0.49 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Athletic Club: 20 shots, 8 on target, 2.91 xG. Cádiz: 5 shots, 4 on target, 0.28 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Gorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 66′Asier Villalibre · Athletic Club · 68′Iñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Athletic Club 2.91 xG · Cádiz 0.28 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: Athletic Club have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

16.4 fouls/matchFoulsAthletic Club · Cádiz19.6 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAthletic ClubCádizBaseline
Fouls16.4 fouls/match19.6 fouls/match13.8 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Athletic Club have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.8%PossessionAthletic Club · Cádiz39.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAthletic ClubCádizBaseline
Possession52.8%39.4%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Athletic Club
0Draws
1Cádiz
Athletic ClubCádiz · La Liga41
CádizAthletic Club · La Liga04
CádizAthletic Club · La Liga23
Athletic ClubCádiz · La Liga01

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Athletic Club favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Cádiz in 0 · 4 too close

1.8 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/51 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/51.4 goals/match
1.67 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/51.15 xG/match
0.69 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/51.44 xG/match
12 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/511.2 shots/match
10.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/513.2 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/53 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/55.2 shots/match
52.8%Possessionseason · 5/539.4%
5 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/54.4 corners/match
4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/55 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
16.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/519.6 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
60%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/520%
60%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/560%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Athletic Club62.5
Cádiz12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Athletic Club60.8
Cádiz27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Athletic Club60
Cádiz33.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Athletic Club22.5
Cádiz82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club72.5
Cádiz97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club60
Cádiz32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Athletic Club58.1
Cádiz46.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Athletic Club5 matchesCádiz5 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/51 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
1.67 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.15 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots5/511.2 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/53 shots/match
52.8%Possession5/539.4%
5 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
16.4 fouls/matchFouls5/519.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Athletic Club3 matchesCádiz2 matches
2.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/2
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/2
2.06 xG/matchExpected goals3/2
13.7 shots/matchShots3/2
5.33 shots/matchShots on target3/2
53%Possession3/2
5.67 corners/matchCorners3/2
Cards0/0
17 fouls/matchFouls3/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

12.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.8 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 Sept 2023, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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