La Liga · 2023Sat, 16 Sept 2023, 16:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Celta Vigo

LDLW

0–1Full-time recap

Mallorca

DLLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Celta Vigo	Mallorca
Shots	16 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match	4 shots/match
Expected goals	1.29 xG/match▲	0.8 xG/match
Possession	61%●	39%
Corners	10 corners/match●	1 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Celta Vigo: 16 shots, 4 on target, 1.26 xG. Mallorca: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.77 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Celta Vigo 1.26 xG · Mallorca 0.77 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Mallorca's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Celta Vigo have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Mallorca show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Mallorca's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.2 shots/match▲ShotsCelta Vigo · Mallorca8.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Celta Vigo	Mallorca	Baseline
Shots	14.2 shots/match	8.8 shots/match	11.9 shots/match
Shots against	11 shots/match	11.4 shots/match	11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Celta Vigo have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.2%●PossessionCelta Vigo · Mallorca38%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.2 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Celta Vigo	Mallorca	Baseline
Possession	47.2%	38%	49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Celta Vigo

1Draws

2Mallorca

17 Apr 2023Celta Vigo — Mallorca · La Liga0–1

20 Jan 2023Mallorca — Celta Vigo · La Liga1–0

6 Mar 2022Celta Vigo — Mallorca · La Liga4–3

10 Dec 2021Mallorca — Celta Vigo · La Liga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Celta Vigo favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Mallorca in 5 · 5 too close

0.8 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/50.8 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/5▲1 goals/match

1.24 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/51.2 xG/match

1.36 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/5▲1.24 xG/match

14.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 5/58.8 shots/match

11 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/511.4 shots/match

4.6 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 5/52.8 shots/match

3.8 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/5▲3.2 shots/match

47.2%●Possessionseason · 5/538%

6.4 corners/match●Cornersseason · 5/53.8 corners/match

4.6 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 5/55.6 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/517.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/5▲40%

40%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/5▲60%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Celta Vigo32.5

Mallorca7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Celta Vigo52.5

Mallorca16.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Celta Vigo53.3

Mallorca66.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Celta Vigo92.5

Mallorca27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo25

Mallorca82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo87.5

Mallorca22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Celta Vigo63.8

Mallorca35

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Celta Vigo5 matchesMallorca5 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.8 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match

1.24 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.2 xG/match

14.2 shots/match▲Shots5/58.8 shots/match

4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.8 shots/match

47.2%●Possession5/538%

6.4 corners/match●Corners5/53.8 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12 fouls/matchFouls5/517.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Celta Vigo3 matchesMallorca3 matches

0 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲1.33 goals/match

1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31.33 goals/match

1.18 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲1.74 xG/match

13.3 shots/match▲Shots3/39.33 shots/match

3 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲3.67 shots/match

50.3%●Possession3/339%

6.67 corners/match●Corners3/33.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13 fouls/matchFouls3/321.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.1 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples5 / 5home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 Sept 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4