PitchMath
La Liga · 2023Sat, 16 Sept 2023, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
5–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBarcelonaReal Betis
Shots17 shots/match▲11 shots/match
Shots on target9 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Expected goals2.42 xG/match▲0.85 xG/match
Possession65%●35%
Corners9 corners/match●5 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Willian José · Real Betis · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRaphinha · Barcelona · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGuido Rodríguez · Real Betis · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbdessamad Ezzalzouli · Real Betis · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAyoze Pérez · Real Betis · 17′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFerran Torres · Barcelona · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSergi Altimira · Real Betis · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJuan Cruz · Real Betis · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoão Cancelo · Barcelona · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOriol Romeu · Barcelona · 48′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAyoze Pérez · Real Betis · 59′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRodri Sánchez · Real Betis · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRaphinha · Barcelona · 66′ · 0.05 xG · goalRaphinha · Barcelona · 73′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRaphinha · Barcelona · 86′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMarc Bartra · Real Betis · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFerran Torres · Barcelona · 62′ · 0.07 xG · goalLuiz Henrique · Real Betis · 15′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFerran Torres · Barcelona · 52′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJoão Cancelo · Barcelona · 81′ · 0.11 xG · goalRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 89′ · 0.13 xG · on targetRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 42′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedJoão Félix · Barcelona · 45′ · 0.34 xG · on targetRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 32′ · 0.36 xG · goalİlkay Gündoğan · Barcelona · 90′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedWillian José · Real Betis · 45′ · 0.44 xG · on targetJoão Félix · Barcelona · 25′ · 0.48 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Barcelona: 17 shots, 9 on target, 2.42 xG. Real Betis: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.82 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′João Félix · Barcelona · 25′Robert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 32′Ferran Torres · Barcelona · 62′Raphinha · Barcelona · 66′João Cancelo · Barcelona · 81′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Barcelona 2.42 xG · Real Betis 0.82 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17 shots/match▲ShotsBarcelona · Real Betis12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBarcelonaReal BetisBaseline
Shots17 shots/match12 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against10 shots/match13.8 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share.

69.2%●PossessionBarcelona · Real Betis46.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 22.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBarcelonaReal BetisBaseline
Possession69.2%46.8%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Barcelona
0Draws
1Real Betis
Barcelona — Real Betis · La Liga4–0
Real Betis — Barcelona · La Liga1–2
Real Betis — Barcelona · La Liga1–2
Barcelona — Real Betis · La Liga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Barcelona favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Real Betis in 0 · 2 too close

2.6 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 5/51 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 5/52 goals/match
2.49 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 5/50.84 xG/match
1.04 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 5/51.65 xG/match
17 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 5/512 shots/match
10 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 5/513.8 shots/match
7.6 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 5/53.2 shots/match
2.8 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 5/55.4 shots/match
69.2%●Possessionseason · 5/546.8%
6.8 corners/match●Cornersseason · 5/53.2 corners/match
4 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 5/56.6 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/514 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
60%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/540%
80%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 5/560%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Barcelona97.5
Real Betis27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Barcelona94.2
Real Betis39.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Barcelona84.2
Real Betis24.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Barcelona57.5
Real Betis62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Barcelona17.5
Real Betis52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Barcelona97.5
Real Betis7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Barcelona75
Real Betis36.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Barcelona5 matchesReal Betis5 matches
2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
2.49 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.84 xG/match
17 shots/match▲Shots5/512 shots/match
7.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.2 shots/match
69.2%●Possession5/546.8%
6.8 corners/match●Corners5/53.2 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/514 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Barcelona2 matchesReal Betis3 matches
—Goals scored2/31.33 goals/match
—Goals allowed2/33.33 goals/match
—Expected goals2/30.79 xG/match
—Shots2/310.7 shots/match
—Shots on target2/33.67 shots/match
—Possession2/341.7%
—Corners2/34 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
—Fouls2/312.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 Sept 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBarcelonaReal Betis
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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