La Liga · 2023Sat, 7 Oct 2023, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Sevilla

LWDWL

2–2Full-time recap

Rayo Vallecano

LWDDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Sevilla	Rayo Vallecano
Shots	22 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	1.03 xG/match	1.05 xG/match▲
Possession	64%●	36%
Corners	12 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	16 fouls/match	19 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Sevilla: 22 shots, 6 on target, 1.03 xG. Rayo Vallecano: 7 shots, 4 on target, 1.07 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sevilla 1.03 xG · Rayo Vallecano 1.07 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sevilla's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Rayo Vallecano. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Sevilla show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Sevilla's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.9 shots/match▲ShotsSevilla · Rayo Vallecano13.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Sevilla	Rayo Vallecano	Baseline
Shots	16.9 shots/match	13.3 shots/match	12.3 shots/match
Shots against	12.1 shots/match	14 shots/match	12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Rayo Vallecano.

8 days▲Rest daysSevilla · Rayo Vallecano7.2 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Sevilla	Rayo Vallecano	Baseline
Rest days	8 days	7.2 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	3 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Sevilla

2Draws

1Rayo Vallecano

19 Feb 2023Rayo Vallecano — Sevilla · La Liga1–1

29 Oct 2022Sevilla — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga0–1

13 Mar 2022Rayo Vallecano — Sevilla · La Liga1–1

15 Aug 2021Sevilla — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Sevilla favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Rayo Vallecano in 5 · 3 too close

1.63 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 8/91.22 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/91.44 goals/match

1.24 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 8/9▲1.52 xG/match

1.55 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 8/9▲1.39 xG/match

16.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 8/913.3 shots/match

12.1 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 8/914 shots/match

4.88 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 8/9▲5.78 shots/match

3.25 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 8/95.11 shots/match

53.1%●Possessionseason · 8/947.7%

6.63 corners/match●Cornersseason · 8/94 corners/match

5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 8/9▲4.67 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/917.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/9▲44%

75%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 8/967%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sevilla67.5

Rayo Vallecano42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sevilla75

Rayo Vallecano62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sevilla68.3

Rayo Vallecano32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sevilla97.5

Rayo Vallecano77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sevilla50

Rayo Vallecano82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sevilla97.5

Rayo Vallecano25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sevilla76.9

Rayo Vallecano65

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Sevilla8 matchesRayo Vallecano9 matches

1.63 goals/match▲Goals scored8/91.22 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/91.44 goals/match

1.24 xG/matchExpected goals8/9▲1.52 xG/match

16.9 shots/match▲Shots8/913.3 shots/match

4.88 shots/matchShots on target8/9▲5.78 shots/match

53.1%●Possession8/947.7%

6.63 corners/match●Corners8/94 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.1 fouls/matchFouls8/917.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Sevilla5 matchesRayo Vallecano5 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.6 goals/match

1.48 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.41 xG/match

19.2 shots/match▲Shots5/511.6 shots/match

6.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/55.4 shots/match

52.2%●Possession5/543.8%

8.4 corners/match●Corners5/53.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14 fouls/matchFouls5/517.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.2 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples8 / 9home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Oct 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4