PitchMath
La Liga · 2023

Villarreal 1–2 Las Palmas · La Liga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Las Palmas won 1–2.

Shots
98
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
0.991.12
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Las Palmas beat Villarreal 2–1. Recorded in this match (Villarreal – Las Palmas): shots 9–8, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 0.99–1.12, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Las Palmas's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Las Palmas's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.67 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Villarreal, Las Palmas.

8 days ▲Rest daysVillarreal · Las Palmas5.71 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricVillarrealLas PalmasBaseline
Rest days8 days5.71 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots8 shotsVillarreal 9 shots, Las Palmas 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsVillarreal 4 shots, Las Palmas 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.99 xG1.12 xGVillarreal 0.99 xG, Las Palmas 1.12 xG
  • Possession49%51%Villarreal 49%, Las Palmas 51%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersVillarreal 7 corners, Las Palmas 2 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls7 foulsVillarreal 17 fouls, Las Palmas 7 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Villarreal favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Las Palmas in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Villarreal9 matchesLas Palmas9 matches
1.22 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/90.67 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲ 0.89 goals/match
1.19 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/90.96 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots9/910.8 shots/match
3.78 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/93.33 shots/match
53.2%Possession9/9● 58.7%
5.44 corners/match ●Corners9/93.78 corners/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls9/99.78 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Oct 2023, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVillarrealLas Palmas
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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