La Liga · 2023Sun, 8 Oct 2023, 12:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Villarreal

LWDLD

1–2Full-time recap

Las Palmas

LLWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Villarreal	Las Palmas
Shots	9 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.99 xG/match	1.12 xG/match▲
Possession	49%	51%●
Corners	7 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	17 fouls/match	7 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Las Palmas's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Villarreal, Las Palmas. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Las Palmas's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Las Palmas's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.67 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	0.67 goals/match	1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Villarreal, Las Palmas.

8 days▲Rest daysVillarreal · Las Palmas5.71 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Villarreal	Las Palmas	Baseline
Rest days	8 days	5.71 days	—
Matches last 14 days	3 matches	3 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Villarreal favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Las Palmas in 4 · 4 too close

1.22 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 9/90.67 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 9/9▲0.89 goals/match

1.19 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 9/90.96 xG/match

1.51 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 9/9▲1.27 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/910.8 shots/match

14.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/9▲12 shots/match

3.78 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 9/93.33 shots/match

5.89 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/9▲4.33 shots/match

53.2%Possessionseason · 9/9●58.7%

5.44 corners/match●Cornersseason · 9/93.78 corners/match

5 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 9/96.11 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/99.78 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

22%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/922%

89%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 9/944%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Villarreal72.5

Las Palmas90

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Villarreal34.2

Las Palmas11.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Villarreal10.8

Las Palmas72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Villarreal12.5

Las Palmas2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Villarreal67.5

Las Palmas2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Villarreal82.5

Las Palmas15

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Villarreal53.8

Las Palmas12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Villarreal9 matchesLas Palmas9 matches

1.22 goals/match▲Goals scored9/90.67 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲0.89 goals/match

1.19 xG/match▲Expected goals9/90.96 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShots9/910.8 shots/match

3.78 shots/match▲Shots on target9/93.33 shots/match

53.2%Possession9/9●58.7%

5.44 corners/match●Corners9/93.78 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.6 fouls/matchFouls9/99.78 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Villarreal5 matchesLas Palmas5 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.4 goals/match

2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match

1.32 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.89 xG/match

12.8 shots/match▲Shots5/511 shots/match

4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match

53.4%Possession5/5●55%

5.8 corners/match●Corners5/53.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.4 fouls/matchFouls5/58.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.71 days

3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples9 / 9home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Oct 2023, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4