PitchMath
La Liga · 2023

Las Palmas 0–1 Rayo Vallecano · La Liga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Rayo Vallecano won 0–1.

Shots
1212
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
1.331.35
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rayo Vallecano beat Las Palmas 1–0. Recorded in this match (Las Palmas – Rayo Vallecano): shots 12–12, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.33–1.35, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Las Palmas's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Las Palmas's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.6 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.6 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Las Palmas have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.9% ●PossessionLas Palmas · Rayo Vallecano46.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLas PalmasRayo VallecanoBaseline
Possession58.9%46.8%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots12 shotsLas Palmas 12 shots, Rayo Vallecano 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsLas Palmas 6 shots, Rayo Vallecano 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.33 xG1.35 xGLas Palmas 1.33 xG, Rayo Vallecano 1.35 xG
  • Possession61%39%Las Palmas 61%, Rayo Vallecano 39%
  • Corners10 corners5 cornersLas Palmas 10 corners, Rayo Vallecano 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls11 foulsLas Palmas 13 fouls, Rayo Vallecano 11 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Las Palmas favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Rayo Vallecano in 7

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Las Palmas10 matchesRayo Vallecano10 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.2 goals/match
0.9 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/101.3 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲ 1.51 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 13.2 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲ 5.6 shots/match
58.9% ●Possession10/1046.8%
4.4 corners/match ●Corners10/104.1 corners/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1016.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Oct 2023, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLas PalmasRayo Vallecano
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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