PitchMath
La Liga · 2023

Girona FC 1–0 Celta Vigo · La Liga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Girona FC won 1–0.

Shots
124
Shots on target
22
Expected goals
0.630.2
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Girona FC beat Celta Vigo 1–0. Recorded in this match (Girona FC – Celta Vigo): shots 12–4, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 0.63–0.2, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Girona FC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Girona FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match2.27 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Girona FC have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.5% ●PossessionGirona FC · Celta Vigo43.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGirona FCCelta VigoBaseline
Possession57.5%43.5%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots4 shotsGirona FC 12 shots, Celta Vigo 4 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shotsGirona FC 2 shots, Celta Vigo 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.63 xG0.2 xGGirona FC 0.63 xG, Celta Vigo 0.2 xG
  • Possession66%34%Girona FC 66%, Celta Vigo 34%
  • Corners10 corners1 cornerGirona FC 10 corners, Celta Vigo 1 corner
  • Fouls15 fouls12 foulsGirona FC 15 fouls, Celta Vigo 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Renato Tapia · Celta Vigo · 29′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMiguel Gutiérrez · Girona FC · 70′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSavinho · Girona FC · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCristhian Stuani · Girona FC · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCristhian Stuani · Girona FC · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYangel Herrera · Girona FC · 90′ · 0.03 xG · goalArtem Dovbyk · Girona FC · 47′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAleix García · Girona FC · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Bamba · Celta Vigo · 41′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMiguel Gutiérrez · Girona FC · 31′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedYangel Herrera · Girona FC · 43′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Gutiérrez · Girona FC · 72′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedArtem Dovbyk · Girona FC · 4′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Dotor · Celta Vigo · 81′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedYan Couto · Girona FC · 66′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Girona FC: 12 shots, 2 on target, 0.64 xG. Celta Vigo: 4 shots, 2 on target, 0.19 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Yangel Herrera · Girona FC · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Girona FC 0.64 xG · Celta Vigo 0.19 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Girona FC
1Draws
1Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo — Girona FC · La Liga1–1
Girona FC — Celta Vigo · La Liga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Girona FC favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Celta Vigo in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Girona FC11 matchesCelta Vigo11 matches
2.27 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/110.91 goals/match
1.18 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/111.73 goals/match
1.67 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/111.28 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots11/1113.5 shots/match
5.09 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/114.45 shots/match
57.5% ●Possession11/1143.5%
5 corners/matchCorners11/11● 5.73 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls11/1111.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 27 Oct 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGirona FCCelta Vigo
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2023/24
Head-to-headGirona FC — Celta Vigo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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