La Liga · 2023Sat, 4 Nov 2023, 17:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Celta Vigo

DLDLL

1–1Full-time recap

Sevilla

WLDDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Celta Vigo	Sevilla
Shots	15 shots/match▲	13 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	2.1 xG/match▲	0.89 xG/match
Possession	39%	61%●
Corners	4 corners/match	6 corners/match●
Fouls	14 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Celta Vigo: 15 shots, 3 on target, 2.09 xG. Sevilla: 13 shots, 5 on target, 0.89 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Celta Vigo 2.09 xG · Sevilla 0.89 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: Sevilla's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.58 corners/matchCornersCelta Vigo · Sevilla●6.09 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Celta Vigo	Sevilla	Baseline
Corners	5.58 corners/match	6.09 corners/match	4.48 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Sevilla's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sevilla's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.55 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	1.55 goals/match	1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sevilla show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Sevilla's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.7 shots/match▲ShotsCelta Vigo · Sevilla16.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Celta Vigo	Sevilla	Baseline
Shots	13.7 shots/match	16.8 shots/match	12.4 shots/match
Shots against	12.3 shots/match	12.4 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Celta Vigo

3Draws

1Sevilla

7 Apr 2023Sevilla — Celta Vigo · La Liga2–2

30 Dec 2022Celta Vigo — Sevilla · La Liga1–1

22 Jan 2022Sevilla — Celta Vigo · La Liga2–2

17 Oct 2021Celta Vigo — Sevilla · La Liga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Celta Vigo favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Sevilla in 7 · 4 too close

0.92 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 12/11▲1.55 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/11▲1.45 goals/match

1.35 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 12/111.23 xG/match

1.39 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 12/111.57 xG/match

13.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/11▲16.8 shots/match

12.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/1112.4 shots/match

4.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/11▲5.55 shots/match

4.75 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/11▲3.55 shots/match

43.1%Possessionseason · 12/11●54.5%

5.58 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/11●6.09 corners/match

4.92 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/114.73 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1112.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/11▲18%

58%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/11▲82%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Celta Vigo17.5

Sevilla72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Celta Vigo50.8

Sevilla80

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Celta Vigo36.7

Sevilla60

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Celta Vigo97.5

Sevilla87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo25

Sevilla37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo77.5

Sevilla92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Celta Vigo59.4

Sevilla76.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Celta Vigo12 matchesSevilla11 matches

0.92 goals/matchGoals scored12/11▲1.55 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed12/11▲1.45 goals/match

1.35 xG/match▲Expected goals12/111.23 xG/match

13.7 shots/matchShots12/11▲16.8 shots/match

4.33 shots/matchShots on target12/11▲5.55 shots/match

43.1%Possession12/11●54.5%

5.58 corners/matchCorners12/11●6.09 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12 fouls/matchFouls12/1112.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Celta Vigo7 matchesSevilla5 matches

0.57 goals/matchGoals scored7/5▲1.2 goals/match

1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed7/51.6 goals/match

1.46 xG/match▲Expected goals7/50.92 xG/match

15 shots/matchShots7/514.4 shots/match

3.71 shots/matchShots on target7/5▲4.6 shots/match

49.4%Possession7/5●58%

6.57 corners/match●Corners7/54.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.3 fouls/matchFouls7/511.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.94 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.94 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples12 / 11home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Nov 2023, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4