La Liga · 2023Sat, 4 Nov 2023, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Real Sociedad

WWLWD

0–1Full-time recap

Barcelona

DWDWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Real Sociedad	Barcelona
Shots	13 shots/match▲	12 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	0.95 xG/match	1.23 xG/match▲
Possession	51%●	49%
Corners	8 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	16 fouls/match	8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Real Sociedad: 13 shots, 6 on target, 0.99 xG. Barcelona: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.22 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Sociedad 0.99 xG · Barcelona 1.22 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Barcelona's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Barcelona's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Barcelona's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	2 goals/match	1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.6 shots/match▲ShotsReal Sociedad · Barcelona15.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Real Sociedad	Barcelona	Baseline
Shots	11.6 shots/match	15.8 shots/match	12.4 shots/match
Shots against	13 shots/match	10.7 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share.

54%PossessionReal Sociedad · Barcelona●66.1%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.1 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Real Sociedad	Barcelona	Baseline
Possession	54%	66.1%	49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Real Sociedad

0Draws

3Barcelona

20 May 2023Barcelona — Real Sociedad · La Liga1–2

21 Aug 2022Real Sociedad — Barcelona · La Liga1–4

21 Apr 2022Real Sociedad — Barcelona · La Liga0–1

15 Aug 2021Barcelona — Real Sociedad · La Liga4–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Sociedad favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Barcelona in 10 · 2 too close

1.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 12/12▲2 goals/match

1.25 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/12▲1 goals/match

1.32 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 12/12▲2.15 xG/match

1.32 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 12/12▲0.99 xG/match

11.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/12▲15.8 shots/match

13 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/12▲10.7 shots/match

3.92 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/12▲6.33 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/12▲3.67 shots/match

54%Possessionseason · 12/12●66.1%

4.42 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/12●6.25 corners/match

3.58 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 12/124.33 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

16.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1210.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/12▲50%

83%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/12▲92%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Sociedad67.5

Barcelona97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Sociedad50.8

Barcelona87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Sociedad42.5

Barcelona84.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Sociedad12.5

Barcelona37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad92.5

Barcelona12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad47.5

Barcelona97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Sociedad53.8

Barcelona72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Sociedad12 matchesBarcelona12 matches

1.67 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲2 goals/match

1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲1 goals/match

1.32 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲2.15 xG/match

11.6 shots/matchShots12/12▲15.8 shots/match

3.92 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲6.33 shots/match

54%Possession12/12●66.1%

4.42 corners/matchCorners12/12●6.25 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

16.7 fouls/matchFouls12/1210.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Sociedad7 matchesBarcelona6 matches

2.14 goals/match▲Goals scored7/61.83 goals/match

1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed7/61.33 goals/match

1.41 xG/matchExpected goals7/6▲2.16 xG/match

12.3 shots/matchShots7/6▲14.7 shots/match

4.71 shots/matchShots on target7/6▲6.17 shots/match

54.6%Possession7/6●67.7%

4.57 corners/matchCorners7/6●5.17 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

16 fouls/matchFouls7/610.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.24 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples12 / 12home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Nov 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4